Match Info

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday


	Birmingham City		Queens Park Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.55	3.50
	1.99	3.45	3.56	Watch
	1.97	3.45	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.98)	3.48 ↓ (3.5)	3.54 ↑ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham City
47%

Draw
26.7%

Queens Park Rangers
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

26.6%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

25.8%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Queens Park Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 7th in the Promotion - Championship Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 6th in the Promotion - Championship Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Birmingham may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Birmingham holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Birmingham has recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:29 (averaging 1.1:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Birmingham against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 10:12 goals (averaging 1:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	QPR	9	3	5	1	11:8	3	14
7	Birmingham	9	3	5	1	13:11	2	14

Last Results with these Odds

Birmingham City - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 47.07%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham City
English League Championship
10.10.26	West Bromwich Albion - Birmingham City	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Birmingham City - Middlesbrough	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Derby County - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
09.09.26	Norwich City - Birmingham City	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Birmingham City - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WTWLT
- Queens Park Rangers
English League Championship
09.10.26	West Ham United - Queens Park Rangers	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Queens Park Rangers - Preston North End	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	West Bromwich Albion - Queens Park Rangers	1:1 ✺
09.09.26	Charlton Athletic - Queens Park Rangers	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Queens Park Rangers - Middlesbrough	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
11.03.26	Birmingham City - Queens Park Rangers	1:0
09.12.25	Queens Park Rangers - Birmingham City	2:1
29.03.24	Queens Park Rangers - Birmingham City	2:1
22.09.23	Birmingham City - Queens Park Rangers	0:0
18.03.23	Queens Park Rangers - Birmingham City	0:1
28.10.22	Birmingham City - Queens Park Rangers	2:0
02.01.22	Birmingham City - Queens Park Rangers	1:2

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