The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oxford United 34.7%
Draw 31.4%
Blackburn Rovers 33.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.2%
29.7%
37.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.6%
29.3%
36.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Blackburn Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
66.7%
20.8%
Oxford United - Blackburn Rovers Predictions
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). Blackburn will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 63.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 43.5% – 83.7%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Oxford (1.84) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
DNB - Oxford (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Oxford (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Oxford (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Blackburn (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Cumming J. (G) 2. Long S. 6. Helik M. 3. Brown C. 26. Currie J. 5. Konak Y. E. 8. Brannagan C. (C) 17. Mills S. 33. Donley J. 44. Peart-Harris M. 27. Lankshear W.
22. Toth B. (G) 17. Carter H. 15. McLoughlin S. (C) 20. Cashin E. 2. Alebiosu R. 5. Gardner-Hickman T. 28. Forshaw A. 14. De Neve D. 25. Morishita R. 24. Baradji M. 29. Jorgensen M.
Substitutes
10. Emakhu A. 9. Harris M. 21. Ingram M. (G) 32. Jeon Jin-Woo 37. Makosso C. 38. McDonnell J. 16. Prelec N. 15. Spencer B. 4. Vaulks W.
21. Afolayan O. 38. Atcheson T. 10. Cantwell T. 35. Michalski N. (G) 23. Ohashi Y. 3. Pickering H. 4. Ribeiro Y. 8. Tavares S. 16. Wharton S.
Coaches
Bloomfield M.
O'Neill Mi.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
27', McLoughlin S. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Donley J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Baradji M. ↓, Ohashi Y. ↑,
72', Lankshear W. ↓, Prelec N. ↑,
73', Jorgensen M. ↓, Cantwell T. ↑,
73', De Neve D. ↓, Afolayan O. ↑,
78', Peart-Harris M. ↓, Spencer B. ↑,
78', Konak Y. E. ↓, Vaulks W. ↑,
79', Cashin E. ↓, Tavares S. ↑,
86', Mills S. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
87', Donley J. ↓, McDonnell J. ↑,
89', Carter H. 🟨,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 20).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Blackburn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Oxford: De Keersmaecker B.
(Inactive)
Goodrham T.
(Injury)
Leigh G.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Blackburn: Cantwell T.
(Injury)
Kargbo A.
(Injury)
Miller L.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Pears A.
(Injury)
Tronstad S.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Blackburn: Hedges R.
(Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 1:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Oxford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).
Outrights of English League Championship for now
Blackburn: 1.04%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Blackburn
9
3
3
3
14:13
1
12
Last Results with these Odds
Oxford United - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 33.15%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Blackburn Rovers - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.17%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.