Match Info

Championship - Round 36

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Ewood Park (Blackburn)

Referee: Nield T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, SuperSport GOtv Football, SupeSport ESPN 1
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	DAZN Canada
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free
Germany	WOW
Hong-kong	myTV SUPER
Hungary	Match 4
Iceland	Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	NOW
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 3
Peru	Disney+
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
South-africa	SuperSport Variety 3, SupeSport ESPN
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Turkey	Exxen
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Blackburn Rovers		Portsmouth

	1	X	2
	2.57	3.1	2.75	Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.95
	2.66	3.05	2.86	Watch
	2.74	3.1	2.91
	2.68	3.08	2.83	Watch
	2.63	2.9	2.75
	2.7	3.19	2.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.43)	3.09 ↓ (3.19)	2.85 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Blackburn Rovers
36%

Draw
30.7%

Portsmouth
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

29.4%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

28.8%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blackburn Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	62.5%	12.5%

Blackburn Rovers - Portsmouth Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Blackburn will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Portsmouth will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Blackburn (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Toth B. (G) 17. Carter H. 15. McLoughlin S. (C) 20. Cashin E. 2. Alebiosu R. 28. Forshaw A. 5. Gardner-Hickman T. 4. Ribeiro Y. 25. Morishita R. 23. Ohashi Y. 29. Jorgensen M.	1. Schmid N. (G) 24. Devlin T. 5. Poole R. 3. Ogilvie C. 22. Swanson Z. 7. Pack M. (C) 38. Adams E. 36. Chaplin C. 47. Caballero G. 27. Alli M. 9. Bishop C.
Substitutes
21. Afolayan O. 38. Atcheson T. 24. Baradji M. 14. De Neve D. 11. Gudjohnsen A. 35. Michalski N. (G) 31. Montgomery K. 8. Tavares S. 16. Wharton S.	29. Blair H. 17. Bowat I. 40. Brown J. 26. Bursik J. (G) 55. Dia M. 16. Le Roux L. 10. Segecic A. 6. Shaughnessy C. 2. Williams J.
Coaches
O'Neill Mi.	Mousinho J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', Forshaw A. ↓, Baradji M. ↑,
63', Ohashi Y. ↓, Gudjohnsen A. ↑,
67', Poole R. ↓, Shaughnessy C. ↑,
70', Chaplin C. ↓, Segecic A. ↑,
75', Gardner-Hickman T. ↓, Montgomery K. ↑,
75', Ribeiro Y. ↓, De Neve D. ↑,
81', Caballero G. ↓, Blair H. ↑,
81', Bishop C. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
84', Cashin E. 🟨,
85', 0 - 1, Ogilvie C. ⚽, Brown J. (A),
90+3', 1 - 1, Carter H. ⚽,
90+5', Carter H. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 and 19).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Blackburn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Blackburn: Cantwell T. (Injury) Litherland M. (Injury) Miller L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Pears A. (Injury) Tavares S. (Knee Injury) Wharton S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Portsmouth: Alese A. (Muscle Injury) Anderson K. (Hamstring Injury) Bianchini F. (Knee Injury) Dozzell A. (Ankle Injury) Knight J. (Back Injury) Kosznovszky M. (Knee Injury) Murphy J. (Foot Injury) Shaughnessy C. (Thigh Injury) Umeh F. (Hamstring Injury) Waddingham T. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Blackburn: Hedges R. (Injury) Tronstad S. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Portsmouth: Kirk M. (Inactive) Swift J. (Inactive)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blackburn won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Blackburn won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 3:0).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Blackburn: 1.04% Portsmouth: 0.98%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Blackburn	9	3	3	3	14:13	1	12
19	Portsmouth	7	2	2	3	9:10	-1	8

Last Results with these Odds

Blackburn Rovers - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.57%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Portsmouth - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 32.06%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blackburn Rovers
English League Championship
28.02.26	Derby County - Blackburn Rovers	3:1 ✺
24.02.26	Blackburn Rovers - Bristol City	1:2 ✺
20.02.26	Blackburn Rovers - Preston North End	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Queens Park Rangers - Blackburn Rovers	1:3 ✺
07.02.26	Norwich City - Blackburn Rovers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWWL
- Portsmouth FC
English League Championship
28.02.26	Portsmouth - Hull City	0:1 ✺
24.02.26	Wrexham - Portsmouth	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Millwall - Portsmouth	1:3 ✺
17.02.26	Charlton Athletic - Portsmouth	1:3 ✺
14.02.26	Portsmouth - Sheffield United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
13.12.25	Portsmouth - Blackburn Rovers	2:1
29.03.25	Portsmouth - Blackburn Rovers	1:0
15.01.25	Blackburn Rovers - Portsmouth	3:0
English League One
13.02.18	Portsmouth - Blackburn Rovers	1:2
21.10.17	Blackburn Rovers - Portsmouth	3:0

Upcoming Matches