Match Info

Date: 3 October 2020, Saturday


	Memphis 901		Birmingham City

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.25
	2.9	3.65	2.02
	2.89	3.74	2.25
	2.82	3.62	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↓ (3.25)	3.5 ↑ (3.24)	2.18 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Memphis 901
31.6%

Draw
26.2%

Birmingham City
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

28.1%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

18.8%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Memphis 901 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Memphis 901 than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Memphis 901, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Birmingham City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Memphis has not chance of playoffs.

Birmingham was already of playoffs, has a chance of qtrs (49%), has a chance of semis (20%), has a small chance of final (6%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Birmingham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Memphis have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Memphis won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Memphis won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Memphis 901
USL Championship
26.09.20	Charlotte Independence - Memphis 901	1:3 ✺
19.09.20	Louisville City - Memphis 901	4:1 ✺
13.09.20	North Carolina - Memphis 901	3:2 ✺
10.09.20	North Carolina - Memphis 901	2:3 ✺
05.09.20	Memphis 901 - Birmingham City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WLLWT
- Birmingham City
USL Championship
26.09.20	Birmingham City - North Carolina	1:2 ✺
English League Championship
26.09.20	Birmingham City - Rotherham United	1:1 ✺
19.09.20	Swansea City - Birmingham City	0:0 ✺
USL Championship
16.09.20	Miami - Birmingham City	0:4 ✺
12.09.20	Birmingham City - Charlotte Independence	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
05.09.20	Memphis 901 - Birmingham City	1:1
22.08.20	Birmingham City - Memphis 901	2:2
15.07.20	Birmingham City - Memphis 901	3:0
17.08.19	Birmingham City - Memphis 901	1:0
04.05.19	Memphis 901 - Birmingham City	2:2

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