Match Info

EFL Trophy - Play Offs - Final

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Wembley Stadium (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Birmingham City		Peterborough United

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.33	5.25	Watch
	1.41	4.33	5.75
	1.5	4.33	5.5	Watch
	1.54	4.32	5.42	Watch
	1.44	4.2	6
	1.55	4.45	5.22	Watch
	1.5	4.33	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.55)	4.33 ↑ (4.17)	5.52 ↑ (5.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham City
61.9%

Draw
21.4%

Peterborough United
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

22.3%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

21.5%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Birmingham City aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Birmingham City - Peterborough United Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Peterborough (2.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 1 - 50%). Peterborough (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Allsop R. (G) 2. Laird E. 4. Klarer C. 25. Davies B. 20. Cochrane A. 24. Iwata T. 13. Paik Seung-Ho 14. Anderson K. 18. Willumsson W. T. 30. Dowell K. 28. Stansfield J.	31. Steer J. (G) 33. Dornelly J. 37. Fernandez E. 5. Wallin O. 34. Mills H. 22. Kyprianou H. 4. Collins A. 11. Poku K. 7. Mothersille M. 10. Odoh A. 17. Jones R.J.
Substitutes
19. Gardner-Hickman T. 31. Hanley G. 26. Harris L. 10. Jutkiewicz L. 12. Leonard M. 9. May A. 45. Peacock-Farrell B. (G)	1. Bilokapic N. (G) 9. Conn-Clarke C. 8. De Havilland R. 18. Hayes C. 27. Katongo J. 19. Lindgren G. 20. Susoho M.
Coaches
Davies C.	Ferguson D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Mills H. ⚽,
44', Dowell K. 🟨,
45', 0 - 2, Kyprianou H. ⚽, Jones R.J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Willumsson W. T. ↓, May A. ↑,
52', May A. 🟨,
57', Odoh A. 🟨,
64', Laird E. ↓, Gardner-Hickman T. ↑,
73', Paik Seung-Ho ↓, Leonard M. ↑,
75', Mothersille M. ↓, Susoho M. ↑,
78', Kyprianou H. 🟨,
86', Jones R.J. ↓, Lindgren G. ↑,
86', Davies B. ↓, Jutkiewicz L. ↑,
90+1', Fernandez E. ↓, Katongo J. ↑,
90+11', Jutkiewicz L. 🟨,
90+12', Katongo J. 🟨,

Preview

Neutral location - Wembley Stadium.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 2.

Birmingham in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Peterborough is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Birmingham is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Birmingham to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.7:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Birmingham won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:4 (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham City
English League One
08.04.25	Peterborough United - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Birmingham City - Barnsley	6:2 ✺
01.04.25	Bristol Rovers - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Birmingham City - Shrewsbury Town	4:1 ✺
15.03.25	Northampton Town - Birmingham City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWT
- Peterborough United
English League One
08.04.25	Peterborough United - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Peterborough United - Northampton Town	0:4 ✺
01.04.25	Crawley Town - Peterborough United	3:4 ✺
29.03.25	Reading - Peterborough United	3:1 ✺
22.03.25	Peterborough United - Charlton Athletic	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
08.04.25	Peterborough United - Birmingham City	1:2
28.09.24	Birmingham City - Peterborough United	3:2
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Peterborough United - Birmingham City	3:2
English League Championship
25.01.22	Birmingham City - Peterborough United	2:2
18.09.21	Peterborough United - Birmingham City	3:0
23.02.13	Peterborough United - Birmingham City	0:2
01.09.12	Birmingham City - Peterborough United	1:0

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