The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crawley Town 20%
Draw 20.9%
Peterborough United 59%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.4%
25.5%
42%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.1%
24.5%
43.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crawley Town's form might have worsened.
Peterborough United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Peterborough United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crawley Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (-15.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Peterborough United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
33.3%
66.7%
Crawley Town - Peterborough United Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Peterborough will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Peterborough: 35.9% – 97.5%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Peterborough United will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Crawley (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Peterborough (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Davies H. (G) 15. Radcliffe B. 20. Mukena J. 28. Flint J. (C) 23. Kotey F. 4. Bajrami G. 17. Scott K. 7. Forster H. 11. Roles J. 21. Loft R. 9. Tshimanga K.
21. Reyes V. (G) 2. Johnston C. (C) 38. Claxton F. 29. O'Connor T. 33. Dornelly J. 7. Lolos K. 8. Khela B. 14. De Havilland R. 17. Lisbie K. 24. Morgan J. 10. Odoh A.
Substitutes
22. Adeyemo A. 6. Anderson M. 5. Barker C. 10. Brown R. 33. Heater W. (G) 56. Robertson J. 29. Showunmi T.
4. Collins A. 27. Leonard H. 19. Lindgren G. 32. Mendonca L. 22. O'Brien-Brady D. 31. Smith B. (G) 16. Woods B.
Coaches
Lindsey S.
Williams L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
32', Scott K. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Morgan J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Forster H. ↓, Adeyemo A. ↑,
46', Radcliffe B. ↓, Barker C. ↑,
55', Odoh A. 🟨,
59', Flint J. ↓, Robertson J. ↑,
59', Lolos K. ↓, O'Brien-Brady D. ↑,
59', Claxton F. ↓, Mendonca L. ↑,
67', Barker C. 🟨,
72', Morgan J. ↓, Lindgren G. ↑,
72', De Havilland R. ↓, Woods B. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Bajrami G. ⚽,
84', Khela B. ↓, Leonard H. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 2, O'Brien-Brady D. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 0.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1.8:2.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.7:2.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Crawley Town - the odds 2.86 are the expected chance of winning is 32.44%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Peterborough United - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.03%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
United-kingdom
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Davies H. (G) 
Bajrami G. 
Scott K. 
Roles J. 
Reyes V. (G) 
Johnston C. (C) 
O'Connor T. 
Lolos K. 
Anderson M. 
Heater W. (G) 
Lindgren G. 
Mendonca L. 
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