Match Info

Championship - Round 10

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday

Location: St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham)

Referee: Allison S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Birmingham City		Preston North End

	1	X	2
	1.56	3.8	5.5	Watch
	1.63	4.10	5.00
	1.6	4.04	5.39
	1.6	4.35	5.53
	1.66	4.13	4.75	Watch
	1.57	4.3	5.35
	1.61	4.05	4.98	Watch
	1.59	4.1	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.64)	4.11 ↑ (3.87)	5.21 ↑ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham City
58.9%

Draw
23%

Preston North End
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

24.1%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

23.5%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Preston North End has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Birmingham City - Preston North End Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 7th in the Promotion - Championship Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 24th in the Relegation - League One).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 3.

Birmingham has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Preston is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Birmingham carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Birmingham has recorded 6 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:23 (averaging 1.1:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Birmingham against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 12:12 goals (averaging 1.2:1.2 per game).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Birmingham: 6.2% Preston: 0.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Birmingham	9	3	5	1	13:11	2	14
24	Preston	9	1	1	7	8:16	-8	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham City
English League Championship
10.10.26	West Bromwich Albion - Birmingham City	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Birmingham City - Middlesbrough	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Derby County - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
09.09.26	Norwich City - Birmingham City	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Birmingham City - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WTWLT
- Preston North End
English League Championship
10.10.26	Preston North End - Millwall	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Queens Park Rangers - Preston North End	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Preston North End - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
08.09.26	Watford - Preston North End	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Preston North End - Blackburn Rovers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
22.04.26	Birmingham City - Preston North End	2:1
21.10.25	Preston North End - Birmingham City	0:1
01.04.24	Birmingham City - Preston North End	1:0
19.09.23	Preston North End - Birmingham City	2:1
21.01.23	Birmingham City - Preston North End	1:2
03.09.22	Preston North End - Birmingham City	0:1
15.01.22	Preston North End - Birmingham City	1:1

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