Match Info

Championship - Round 5

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham)

Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 7


	Birmingham City		Wolverhampton Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.40	2.30	Watch
	2.80	3.40	2.40
	2.95	3.30	2.33	Watch
	2.97	3.49	2.48
	2.9	3.39	2.42	Watch
	2.90	3.45	2.40
	3.14	3.52	2.34	Watch
	2.85	3.35	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.88)	3.41 ↑ (3.37)	2.39 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham City
32.5%

Draw
27.8%

Wolverhampton Wanderers
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

28%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

29%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Wolverhampton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	22.2%	55.6%

Birmingham City - Wolverhampton Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Wolverhampton will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wolverhampton: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wolverhampton (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Beadle J. (G) 26. Osayi-Samuel B. 5. Neumann P. 4. Klarer C. (C) 20. Cochrane A. 8. Paik Seung-Ho 24. Iwata T. 16. Roberts P. 28. Stansfield J. 17. Millar L. 9. Priske A.	1. Sa J. (G) 38. Tchatchoua J. 34. Djiga N. 37. Krejci L. 3. Bueno H. 7. Andre 5. Munetsi M. 21. Gomes R. 28. Lopez F. 10. Armstrong A. 9. Jimenez R. (C)
Substitutes
21. Allsop R. (G) 33. Ducksch M. 23. Fry D. 27. Fujimoto K. 10. Gray D. 2. Laird E. 25. Lund K. 32. Vazquez L. 7. Vicente C.	23. Chirewa T. 20. Doyle T. 8. James J. 33. Konan G. 36. Mane M. 14. Neave S. 24. Toti 12. Traore B. 13. Virginia J. (G)
Coaches
Davies C.	Peixoto C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Lopez F. ⚽, Gomes R. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Stansfield J. ⚽, Roberts P. (A),
31', 1 - 2, Krejci L. ⚽, Andre (A),
36', 2 - 2, Tchatchoua J. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Munetsi M. 🟨,
53', Klarer C. 🟨,
67', Neumann P. 🟨,
68', Munetsi M. ↓, James J. ↑,
68', Gomes R. ↓, Mane M. ↑,
69', Millar L. ↓, Gray D. ↑,
76', Jimenez R. ↓, Doyle T. ↑,
81', Stansfield J. ↓, Ducksch M. ↑,
81', Roberts P. ↓, Vicente C. ↑,
81', Priske A. ↓, Vazquez L. ↑,
87', Armstrong A. ↓, Neave S. ↑,
87', Andre ↓, Traore B. ↑,
90+2', Gray D. ↓, Laird E. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 1.

Recent performances by Birmingham have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Wolverhampton is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Birmingham: Bird M. (Inactive) Gardner-Hickman T. (Injury) Leonard M. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Wolverhampton: Bellegarde J. (Hamstring Injury) Mosquera Y. (Ankle Injury) Said R. (Knee Injury) Trippier K. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Wolverhampton: Neave S. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1:2).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Wolves: 16.42% Birmingham: 2%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Wolves	8	4	2	2	15:11	4	14
7	Birmingham	9	3	5	1	13:11	2	14

Last Results with these Odds

Birmingham City - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.79%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham City
English League Championship
01.09.26	Birmingham City - Southampton	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Wrexham - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
English League Cup
25.08.26	Birmingham City - Brentford	1:6 ✺
English League Championship
22.08.26	Birmingham City - Bristol City	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Sheffield United - Birmingham City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWLTT
- Wolverhampton Wanderers
English League Championship
01.09.26	West Ham United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	4:2 ✺
29.08.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Stoke City	4:1 ✺
English League Cup
25.08.26	Sheffield Wednesday - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:2 ✺
English League Championship
22.08.26	Preston North End - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:3 ✺
14.08.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Blackburn Rovers	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
15.04.18	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Birmingham City	2:0
04.12.17	Birmingham City - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:1
24.02.17	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Birmingham City	1:2
20.08.16	Birmingham City - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:3
13.03.16	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Birmingham City	0:0
31.10.15	Birmingham City - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:2
11.04.15	Birmingham City - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:1

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