Match Info

Championship - Round 5

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Deepdale (Preston)

Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Preston North End		Blackburn Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.30	3.10	Watch
	2.30	3.40	3.10
	2.35	3.30	2.95	Watch
	2.42	3.39	3.17
	2.51	3.4	2.77	Watch
	2.30	3.45	3.10
	2.34	3.43	3.22	Watch
	2.32	3.30	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.59)	3.37 ↑ (3.23)	3.06 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Preston North End
40.6%

Draw
28.2%

Blackburn Rovers
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.8%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

28.2%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Preston North End has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Blackburn Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Preston North End that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	18.2%	54.5%

Preston North End - Blackburn Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Preston will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Blackburn will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Blackburn: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Blackburn (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Preston (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Preston (votes: 1 - 50%). Blackburn (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Iversen D. (G) 4. Clarke H. 14. Storey J. 19. Gibson L. (C) 17. Mills S. 27. Leroy L. 15. Thompson J. 12. Wiley C. 7. Devine A. 10. Lang C. 37. Burgzorg D.	1. Pears A. (G) 2. Alebiosu R. 31. Montgomery K. 15. McLoughlin S. 4. Ribeiro Y. 28. Forshaw A. 8. Morsy S. 25. Morishita R. 10. Cantwell T. (C) 21. Afolayan O. 9. Gudjohnsen A.
Substitutes
9. Erabi J. 20. Gibbs L. 38. Kenny J. 6. Lindsay L. 23. Moran A. 21. Nicholls L. (G) 24. Offiah O. 11. Small T. 3. Vukcevic A.	17. Carter H. 46. Decandia M. 11. Fevrier J. 30. Garrett J. 37. Goddard F. (G) 45. Higgins H. 47. Houghton L. 39. Pates H. 53. Vare F.
Coaches
Heckingbottom P.	Mowbray T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Lang C. ⚽, Burgzorg D. (A),
26', Ribeiro Y. 🟨,
27', 2 - 0, Lang C. ⚽, Thompson J. (A),
40', Morsy S. 🟨,
42', Burgzorg D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 2 - 1, Mills S. (Own goal),
52', Mills S. 🟨,
59', Wiley C. ↓, Vukcevic A. ↑,
59', Lang C. ↓, Kenny J. ↑,
59', Burgzorg D. ↓, Erabi J. ↑,
64', Afolayan O. ↓, Fevrier J. ↑,
64', Forshaw A. ↓, Carter H. ↑,
65', Clarke H. 🟨,
69', Mills S. ↓, Offiah O. ↑,
74', Morsy S. ↓, Higgins H. ↑,
74', Devine A. ↓, Gibbs L. ↑,
89', Thompson J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Preston won 0.

Preston is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Blackburn's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Preston: Potts B. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Blackburn: Atcheson T. (Red Card) Baradji M. (Hamstring Injury) Jorgensen M. (Hamstring Injury) Kargbo A. (Muscle Injury) Miller L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ohashi Y. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Preston: Carroll T. (Ankle Injury) McCann A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Blackburn: Litherland M. (Muscle Injury) Pickering H. (Inactive) Wharton S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Preston won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:30. (average 1.6:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Preston won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 1.6:1.9).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Blackburn: 0.33% Preston: 0.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Blackburn	9	3	3	3	14:13	1	12
24	Preston	9	1	1	7	8:16	-8	4

Last Results with these Odds

Preston North End - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 35.95%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Blackburn Rovers - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 35.2%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Preston North End
English League Championship
01.09.26	Preston North End - Bristol City	1:3 ✺
29.08.26	Charlton Athletic - Preston North End	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
26.08.26	Preston North End - Everton	0:4 ✺
English League Championship
22.08.26	Preston North End - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:3 ✺
15.08.26	Bolton Wanderers - Preston North End	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Blackburn Rovers
English League Championship
01.09.26	Lincoln City - Blackburn Rovers	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Blackburn Rovers - Queens Park Rangers	1:2 ✺
English League Cup
25.08.26	Blackburn Rovers - Sheffield United	1:2 ✺
English League Championship
22.08.26	Blackburn Rovers - Middlesbrough	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Blackburn Rovers	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
20.02.26	Blackburn Rovers - Preston North End	1:0
21.11.25	Preston North End - Blackburn Rovers	1:2
31.01.25	Blackburn Rovers - Preston North End	2:1
22.09.24	Preston North End - Blackburn Rovers	0:0
17.02.24	Preston North End - Blackburn Rovers	2:2
10.11.23	Blackburn Rovers - Preston North End	1:2
22.04.23	Preston North End - Blackburn Rovers	1:1

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