Match Info

Championship - Round 9

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: The Hawthorns (West Bromwich) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ward G. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, SuperSport Maximo 360, SupeSport ESPN 1
Argentina	08:30	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	22:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bolivia	07:30	ESPN 5
Bosnia And Herzegovina	13:30	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	08:30	Disney+
Bulgaria	14:30	Nova Sport
Canada	07:30	DAZN Canada
Colombia	06:30	ESPN 5
Croatia	13:30	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	13:30	Viaplay
Ecuador	06:30	ESPN 5
Finland	14:30	Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Hungary	13:30	Match 4
Iceland	11:30	Viaplay
India	17:00	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	12:30	NOW
Japan	20:30	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	17:30	Setanta Sports
Kenya	14:30	Gotv
Kosovo	13:30	Arena Premium 2
Malta	13:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	05:30	Disney+, ESPN 3
Netherlands	13:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	00:30	beIN Connect
Nigeria	12:30	SupeSport ESPN 1
Norway	13:30	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Paraguay	08:30	ESPN 5
Peru	06:30	ESPN 5
Serbia	13:30	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	19:30	mio Sports 1
Slovenia	13:30	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South Africa	13:30	SupeSport ESPN
Sweden	13:30	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
United Kingdom	12:30	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football
Uruguay	08:30	Disney+
Usa	07:30	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
Venezuela	07:30	Disney+, ESPN 5


	West Bromwich Albion		Birmingham City

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.20	2.75	Watch
	2.50	3.30	2.85
	2.35	3.25	2.95	Watch
	2.72	3.25	2.88
	2.52	3.39	2.77	Watch
	2.70	3.10	2.85
	2.73	3.26	2.72	Watch
	2.50	3.20	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.31)	3.24 ↓ (3.59)	2.82 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

West Bromwich Albion
37%

Draw
29.3%

Birmingham City
33.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.9%

26.3%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

25.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

West Bromwich Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Bromwich Albion than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	40%	30%

West Bromwich Albion - Birmingham City Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. West Bromwich will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Birmingham will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - over (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.83) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. O'Leary M. (G) 18. Pereira B. 3. Phillips N. 2. Mepham C. (C) 4. Styles C. 20. Nzingoula R. 17. Diakite O. 7. Myhre F. 15. Collyer T. 19. Heggebo A. 11. Morgan J.	1. Beadle J. (G) 26. Osayi-Samuel B. 5. Neumann P. 4. Klarer C. (C) 20. Cochrane A. 24. Iwata T. 14. Solis Romero J. E. 7. Vicente C. 28. Stansfield J. 17. Millar L. 9. Priske A.
Substitutes
23. Bany T. 6. Campbell G. 35. Crowther M. 13. Ingram M. (G) 8. Molumby J. 21. Price I. 9. Stewart B. 22. Townsend C. 29. Whitwell H.	21. Allsop R. (G) 18. Bird M. 33. Ducksch M. 23. Fry D. 19. Gardner-Hickman T. 10. Gray D. 2. Laird E. 16. Roberts P. 32. Vazquez L.
Coaches
Morrison J.	Davies C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Nzingoula R. 🟨,
31', Cochrane A. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Priske A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Millar L. ↓, Roberts P. ↑,
69', Priske A. ↓, Ducksch M. ↑,
69', Solis Romero J. E. ↓, Bird M. ↑,
70', Heggebo A. ↓, Stewart B. ↑,
75', Vicente C. 🟨,
79', Stansfield J. 🟨,
79', Myhre F. ↓, Price I. ↑,
80', Collyer T. ↓, Whitwell H. ↑,
85', Stansfield J. ↓, Gardner-Hickman T. ↑,
85', Vicente C. ↓, Gray D. ↑,
89', Morgan J. 🟨,
89', Osayi-Samuel B. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Championship Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 10th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, West Bromwich won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for West Bromwich: Galves N. (Knee Injury) Johnston M. (Broken Leg).

Confirmed absences for Birmingham: Bird M. (Calf Injury) Gardner-Hickman T. (Hamstring Injury) Gray D. (Muscle Injury) Leonard M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Wright S. (Off the roster).

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, West Bromwich has recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:20 (averaging 1.3:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for West Bromwich against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 8:6 goals (averaging 1.3:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	West Brom	12	6	3	3	16:13	3	21
7	Birmingham	12	5	5	2	20:12	8	20

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Birmingham: 7.86% West Brom: 5.84%

Last Results with these Odds

West Bromwich Albion - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.89%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Birmingham City - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.8%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- West Bromwich Albion
English League Championship
20.09.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - West Bromwich Albion	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	West Bromwich Albion - Queens Park Rangers	1:1 ✺
09.09.26	Derby County - West Bromwich Albion	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	West Bromwich Albion - Watford	1:0 ✺
02.09.26	West Bromwich Albion - Charlton Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTWWT
- Birmingham City
English League Championship
19.09.26	Birmingham City - Middlesbrough	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Derby County - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
09.09.26	Norwich City - Birmingham City	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Birmingham City - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:2 ✺
01.09.26	Birmingham City - Southampton	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
10.02.26	Birmingham City - West Bromwich Albion	0:0
26.11.25	West Bromwich Albion - Birmingham City	1:1
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Birmingham City - West Bromwich Albion	4:1
English League Championship
03.02.24	West Bromwich Albion - Birmingham City	1:0
06.10.23	Birmingham City - West Bromwich Albion	3:1
10.02.23	Birmingham City - West Bromwich Albion	2:0
14.09.22	West Bromwich Albion - Birmingham City	2:3

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