Match Info

Championship - Round 18

Date: 1 December 2025, Monday

Location: St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham)

Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, V Sport Premium
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Peru	Disney+, Fox Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Voyo
South-america	ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event
Turkey	Exxen
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter


	Birmingham City		Watford

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.6	4.1	Watch
	1.88	3.56	4.15	Watch
	1.9	3.68	4.2
	1.77	3.68	4.52	Watch
	1.85	3.4	4
	1.85	3.44	4.23	Watch
	1.9	3.6	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.77)	3.57 ↓ (3.68)	4.17 ↓ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham City
50.9%

Draw
26.4%

Watford
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

25.7%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

25.4%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.4%	4.2%	10.4%

Birmingham City - Watford Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Birmingham (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Watford (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Birmingham City will win (41 of 48 users predict this - 85.42%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.44% – 95.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Birmingham City will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 17 - 85%). Watford (votes: 3 - 15%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Beadle J. (G) 26. Osayi-Samuel B. 5. Neumann P. 4. Klarer C. (C) 20. Cochrane A. 7. Doyle T. 8. Paik Seung-Ho 16. Roberts P. 28. Stansfield J. 10. Gray D. 33. Ducksch M.	12. Baxter N. (G) 2. Ngakia J. 4. Keben K. 6. Pollock M. 16. Bola M. 7. Ince T. 10. Louza I. (C) 5. Kyprianou H. 42. Maamma O. 20. Doumbia M. 9. Kjerrumgaard L.
Substitutes
21. Allsop R. (G) 14. Anderson K. 41. Cashin E. 17. Dykes L. 9. Furuhashi K. 30. Koumas L. 12. Leonard M. 6. Robinson J. 23. Sampsted A.	25. Abankwah J. 3. Alleyne M. 8. Chakvetadze G. 39. Kayembe E. 41. Marriott A. (G) 23. Mendy N. 22. Morris J. 18. Semedo V. 17. Sissoko M.
Coaches
Davies C.	Gracia J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', Kyprianou H. 🟨,
24', Doyle T. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Paik Seung-Ho ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, Gray D. ⚽, Stansfield J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Kyprianou H. ↓, Kayembe E. ↑,
60', Ince T. ↓, Chakvetadze G. ↑,
60', Kjerrumgaard L. ↓, Semedo V. ↑,
61', 2 - 1, Maamma O. ⚽, Bola M. (A),
69', Gray D. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
73', Ducksch M. ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
73', Osayi-Samuel B. ↓, Sampsted A. ↑,
76', Louza I. 🟨,
78', Stansfield J. 🟨,
80', Roberts P. 🟨,
85', Maamma O. ↓, Sissoko M. ↑,
90+2', Stansfield J. ↓, Leonard M. ↑,
90+2', Roberts P. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 0.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, Birmingham is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Iwata T. (Yellow Cards) Laird E. (Hamstring Injury) Wright S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Watford: Grieves J. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Birmingham: Willumsson W. T. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Watford: Baah K. (Injury) Selvik E. (Inactive) Wiley C. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 3:21. (average 0.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.4:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Watford - the odds 4.52 are the expected chance of winning is 20.91%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham City
English League Championship
26.11.25	West Bromwich Albion - Birmingham City	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Birmingham City - Norwich City	4:1 ✺
08.11.25	Middlesbrough - Birmingham City	2:1 ✺
04.11.25	Birmingham City - Millwall	4:0 ✺
01.11.25	Birmingham City - Portsmouth	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWLWW
- Watford FC
English League Championship
25.11.25	Watford - Preston North End	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Derby County - Watford	2:3 ✺
07.11.25	Watford - Bristol City	1:1 ✺
04.11.25	Ipswich Town - Watford	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Watford - Middlesbrough	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
16.03.24	Birmingham City - Watford	0:1
16.09.23	Watford - Birmingham City	2:0
14.03.23	Watford - Birmingham City	3:0
16.08.22	Birmingham City - Watford	1:1
20.03.21	Watford - Birmingham City	3:0
12.12.20	Birmingham City - Watford	0:1
18.04.15	Watford - Birmingham City	1:0

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