Match Info

Championship - Round 15

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday

Location: Vicarage Road (Watford)

Referee: Tierney P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League, SupeSport ESPN 1
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Iceland	Siminn Sport 3, Siminn Sport 4, SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	Viaplay
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League, SupeSport ESPN 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Peru	Disney+, Fox Sports 2
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League, SupeSport ESPN
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Turkey	Exxen
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Watford		Bristol City

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.5	3.8	Watch
	1.94	3.54	3.93	Watch
	1.96	3.64	4
	2.52	3.50	2.66	Watch
	2.01	3.38	3.65	Watch
	2.39	3.3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.46)	3.48 ↑ (3.4)	3.49 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Watford
45.2%

Draw
27.5%

Bristol City
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

27.1%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

26.7%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Watford's performance.

Bristol City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bristol City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Watford that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bristol City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.7%	7.9%	18.4%

Watford - Bristol City Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 28 - 73.7%). Bristol City will win (votes: 7 - 18.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 7.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Watford: 59.7% – 87.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Watford will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Selvik E. (G) 3. Alleyne M. 4. Keben K. 6. Pollock M. 16. Bola M. 10. Louza I. (C) 39. Kayembe E. 29. Petris J. 66. Irankunda N. 20. Doumbia M. 9. Kjerrumgaard L.	23. Vitek R. (G) 19. Tanner G. 16. Dickie R. (C) 24. Roberts H. 2. McCrorie R. 4. Randell A. 14. Vyner Z. 30. Armstrong S. 10. Twine S. 11. Mehmeti A. 9. Mayulu F.
Substitutes
25. Abankwah J. 34. Baah K. 12. Baxter N. (G) 7. Ince T. 42. Maamma O. 23. Mendy N. 2. Ngakia J. 18. Semedo V. 17. Sissoko M.	7. Hirakawa Y. 13. Lumley J. (G) 34. Meerholz J. 31. Morrison E. 1. O'Leary M. (G) 29. Pecover L. 18. Riis E. 36. Thomas O. 25. Yeboah E.
Coaches
Gracia J.	Struber G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Bola M. ⚽, Louza I. (A),
28', Petris J. 🟨,
29', 1 - 1, Twine S. ⚽,
33', Irankunda N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Mehmeti A. 🟨,
57', Mayulu F. ↓, Riis E. ↑,
57', McCrorie R. ↓, Hirakawa Y. ↑,
60', Doumbia M. ↓, Ngakia J. ↑,
61', Irankunda N. ↓, Baah K. ↑,
61', Petris J. ↓, Maamma O. ↑,
75', Armstrong S. ↓, Pecover L. ↑,
84', Kjerrumgaard L. ↓, Semedo V. ↑,
84', Alleyne M. ↓, Ince T. ↑,
87', Roberts H. ↓, Thomas O. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Watford won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Watford will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Watford: Chakvetadze G. (Foot Injury) Grieves J. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Bristol City: Bird M. (Calf Injury) Cornick H. (Inactive) Knight J. (Injury) McNally L. (Knee Injury) Pring C. (Ankle Injury) Stokes J. (Foot Injury) Williams J. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Watford: Wiley C. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Bristol City: Atkinson R. (Inactive)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Watford won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:15. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Watford won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 2.4:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Bristol City - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.44%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Watford FC
English League Championship
04.11.25	Ipswich Town - Watford	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Watford - Middlesbrough	3:0 ✺
25.10.25	Coventry City - Watford	3:1 ✺
22.10.25	Watford - West Bromwich Albion	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Sheffield United - Watford	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TWLWL
- Bristol City
English League Championship
04.11.25	Bristol City - Blackburn Rovers	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Stoke City - Bristol City	5:1 ✺
25.10.25	Bristol City - Birmingham City	1:0 ✺
21.10.25	Bristol City - Southampton	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	Norwich City - Bristol City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
05.04.25	Bristol City - Watford	2:1
26.11.24	Watford - Bristol City	1:0
20.01.24	Bristol City - Watford	1:1
26.12.23	Watford - Bristol City	1:4
15.04.23	Watford - Bristol City	2:0
12.11.22	Bristol City - Watford	0:0
13.02.21	Watford - Bristol City	6:0

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