Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 3

Date: 24 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Brisbane Road (London)

Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)


	Leyton Orient		Birmingham City

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.9	1.7
	4.33	3.8	1.73
	4.5	3.75	1.75
	4.52	4.01	1.77
	4.37	3.81	1.74	Watch
	4.75	3.75	1.73
	4.42	3.9	1.76	Watch
	4.5	3.75	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.49 ↑ (3.63)	3.83 ↑ (3.58)	1.74 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Leyton Orient
21.1%

Draw
24.7%

Birmingham City
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

26.5%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

26.2%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Birmingham City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Birmingham City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Leyton Orient - Birmingham City Predictions

Users Predictions: Birmingham City will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hemming Z. (G) 28. Clare S. 5. Happe D. 6. Cooper B. (C) 3. Sweeney J. 8. Brown J. 29. Obiero Z. 21. O'Neill O. 17. Donley J. 22. Galbraith E. 23. Kelman C.	45. Peacock-Farrell B. (G) 2. Laird E. 4. Klarer C. 6. Bielik K. (C) 20. Cochrane A. 13. Paik Seung-Ho 12. Leonard M. 14. Anderson K. 26. Harris L. 7. Hansson E. 9. May A.
Substitutes
7. Agyei D. 19. Beckles O. 13. Howes S. (G) 27. Jaiyesimi D. 20. Perkins S. 18. Pratley D. 16. Warrington L.	21. Allsop R. (G) 22. Gardner-Hickman T. 10. Jutkiewicz L. 11. Miyoshi K. 23. Sampsted A. 18. Willumsson W. T. 33. Yokoyama A.
Coaches
Wellens R.	Davies C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Anderson K. ⚽, May A. (A),
14', 1 - 1, Galbraith E. ⚽, Obiero Z. (A),
20', 1 - 2, May A. ⚽,
23', Laird E. 🟨,
45', Obiero Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Klarer C. 🟨,
52', O'Neill O. 🟨,
55', Leonard M. ↓, Willumsson W. T. ↑,
66', Hansson E. ↓, Yokoyama A. ↑,
66', Harris L. ↓, Gardner-Hickman T. ↑,
71', Obiero Z. ↓, Agyei D. ↑,
84', May A. ↓, Miyoshi K. ↑,
84', Anderson K. ↓, Jutkiewicz L. ↑,
89', Brown J. ↓, Pratley D. ↑,
89', O'Neill O. ↓, Jaiyesimi D. ↑,
89', Kelman C. ↓, Perkins S. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Leyton Orient is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Birmingham in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Birmingham is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leyton Orient
English League One
17.08.24	Charlton Athletic - Leyton Orient	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
13.08.24	Leyton Orient - Newport County	4:1 ✺
English League One
10.08.24	Leyton Orient - Bolton Wanderers	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.24	Cheshunt - Leyton Orient	2:1 ✺
03.08.24	Dagenham & Redbridge - Leyton Orient	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLW
- Birmingham City
English League One
17.08.24	Wycombe Wanderers - Birmingham City	2:3 ✺
English League Cup
13.08.24	Charlton Athletic - Birmingham City	0:1 ✺
English League One
10.08.24	Birmingham City - Reading	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Birmingham City - West Bromwich Albion	4:1 ✺
27.07.24	Walsall - Birmingham City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWTWW

Upcoming Matches