Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Riccardo Silva Stadium (Miami, FL)

Referee: Carvajal E. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Miami		Phoenix Rising

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.68	3.4	2.35
	2.72	3.52	2.55
	2.53	3.42	2.62	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.4
	2.66	3.39	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.53)	3.39 ↑ (3.26)	2.48 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miami
35.4%

Draw
27.3%

Phoenix Rising
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

28.1%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

28.3%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Miami - Phoenix Rising Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Room E. (C) 8. Romero M. 12. Ndiaye B. 13. Knutson D. 4. Calfo A. 21. Milesi A. 27. Ndongo M. 23. Musto T. 5. Tori R. 10. Locadia J. 26. Rocha A.	1. Rakovsky P. (G) 2. Smith C. 91. Ramirez E. 17. JP Scearce (C) 24. Pelayo A. 20. Biasi L. 22. Johnson D. 12. Dennis C. 8. Gomez D. 7. Sacko I. 10. Avayevu H.
Substitutes
35. Bent B. 16. Diaz G. 39. Garcia S. 3. Kilwien P. 37. Mello D. 36. Naranjo A. 18. Reyes Soria R. 31. Rodriguez F. (G) 14. Rogers A.	28. Arase K. 23. Badji D. 87. Flores D. 33. Gaydon J. 4. Mar Boye P. 13. Moursou J. 14. Odunze C. (G) 11. Studenhofft G. 6. Vukovic A.
Coaches
Maddoni G.	Kah P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Sacko I. (Penalty Awarded),
45+3', Ndongo M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Johnson D. ↓, Moursou J. ↑,
54', Pelayo A. 🟨,
57', Ramirez E. 🟨,
59', 0 - 2, Dennis C. ⚽,
60', Ramirez E. ↓, Badji D. ↑,
64', Romero M. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
64', Ndiaye B. ↓, Rogers A. ↑,
64', Musto T. ↓, Mello D. ↑,
66', Pelayo A. ↓, Flores D. ↑,
74', Badji D. 🟨,
74', Room E. 🟨,
74', Ndongo M. ↓, Reyes Soria R. ↑,
79', Rocha A. (Penalty Awarded),
83', Tori R. ↓, Naranjo A. ↑,
88', JP Scearce 🟨,
90+3', 0 - 3, Sacko I. ⚽, Moursou J. (A),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Miami is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Phoenix Rising has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Phoenix Rising has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Miami won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Miami won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miami FC
USL Championship
11.04.26	San Antonio - Miami	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Miami - Hartford Athletic	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Miami - Rhode Island	2:1 ✺
25.03.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Miami	2:4 ✺
21.03.26	Loudoun United - Miami	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 TTWWT
- Phoenix Rising
US Open Cup
15.04.26	San Jose Earthquakes - Phoenix Rising	2:0 ✺
USL Championship
11.04.26	Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Sacramento Republic - Phoenix Rising	2:0 ✺
US Open Cup
01.04.26	Orange County SC - Phoenix Rising	1:2 ET ✺
USL Championship
28.03.26	Tulsa - Phoenix Rising	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
18.05.24	Phoenix Rising - Miami	2:0
08.07.23	Miami - Phoenix Rising	2:1
23.04.22	Phoenix Rising - Miami	2:1

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