The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Blackpool 30.9%
Draw 28.1%
Luton Town 41%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.9%
27.9%
41.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.2%
27.6%
40.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Blackpool have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackpool than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
46.2%
0%
53.8%
Blackpool - Luton Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Blackpool will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Luton will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 26.7% – 80.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Blackpool will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Peacock-Farrell B. (G) 30. Imray D. 20. Ihiekwe M. 4. Casey O. 15. Coulson H. 19. Bowler J. 6. Brown J. 8. Morgan A. 22. Hamilton C. 11. Fletcher A. 18. Taylor D.
24. Keeley J. (G) 28. Makosso C. 5. Andersen M. 3. Naismith K. (C) 33. Bramall C. 22. Dabo L. 23. Saville G. 14. Morris S. 37. Nelson Z. 7. Alli M. 21. Wells N.
Substitutes
26. Ashworth Z. 14. Bloxham T. 7. Evans L. 29. Hansson E. 5. Horsfall F. 2. Lyons A. 25. Ravizzoli F. (G)
18. Clark J. 31. Gbode J. 30. Kodua G. 13. Nakamba M. 20. Nordas L. 27. Richards J. 1. Shea J. (G)
Coaches
Bruce S.
Bloomfield M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Hamilton C. ⚽, Bowler J. (A),
16', Imray D. ↓, Lyons A. ↑,
41', Fletcher A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 2 - 0, Hamilton C. ⚽, Brown J. (A),
56', Nelson Z. ↓, Clark J. ↑,
57', Wells N. ↓, Gbode J. ↑,
57', Alli M. ↓, Kodua G. ↑,
71', Fletcher A. ↓, Bloxham T. ↑,
74', Morris S. ↓, Richards J. ↑,
75', Dabo L. ↓, Nordas L. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Clark J. ⚽, Saville G. (A),
81', Bowler J. ↓, Hansson E. ↑,
82', Taylor D. ↓, Evans L. ↑,
90+1', Morgan A. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 2, Kodua G. (Pen),
90+7', 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blackpool won 0.
Blackpool is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Luton's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Blackpool may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Luton will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Blackpool won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Blackpool won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.6:1.6).
Watch
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Peacock-Farrell B. (G) 
Imray D. 
Hamilton C. 
Makosso C. 
Andersen M. 
Naismith K. (C) 
Dabo L. 
Wells N. 
Ashworth Z. 
Hansson E. 
Ravizzoli F. (G) 
Nakamba M. 
Nordas L. 
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