Match Info

League One - Round 8

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Sixfields Stadium (Northampton)

Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Northampton Town		Blackpool

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.4	2.55
	2.6	3.1	2.7
	2.68	3.2	2.58
	2.65	3.34	2.75
	2.72	3.12	2.62	Watch
	2.63	3.22	2.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.33)	3.23 ↓ (3.4)	2.66 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northampton Town
35.5%

Draw
29.1%

Blackpool
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

27.6%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

26.6%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Blackpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blackpool than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Northampton Town - Blackpool Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Blackpool will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Northampton: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Northampton (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Blackpool (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Northampton (votes: 1 - 50%). Blackpool (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Burge L. (G) 3. McCarthy C. 35. Dyche M. 21. Perkins J. 4. Campbell D. 7. Hoskins S. (C) 12. Guinness-Walker N. 23. Taylor T. 8. McGeehan C. 19. Wheatley E. 14. Fornah T.	1. Peacock-Farrell B. (G) 30. Imray D. 20. Ihiekwe M. 4. Casey O. 15. Coulson H. 19. Bowler J. 8. Morgan A. 6. Brown J. 10. Honeyman G. (C) 9. Ennis N. 18. Taylor D.
Substitutes
2. Burroughs J. 9. Eaves T. 22. Edwards K. 34. Fitzsimons R. (G) 10. List E. 11. Swyer K. 15. Thorniley J.	23. Banks S. 7. Evans L. 11. Fletcher A. 22. Hamilton C. 29. Hansson E. 5. Horsfall F. 25. Ravizzoli F. (G)
Coaches
Nolan K.	Bruce S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Bowler J. 🟨,
28', McCarthy C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', Perkins J. ↓, Thorniley J. ↑,
67', McCarthy C. ↓, Burroughs J. ↑,
73', Wheatley E. ↓, Eaves T. ↑,
77', Bowler J. ↓, Banks S. ↑,
78', Ennis N. ↓, Fletcher A. ↑,
82', 1 - 0, McGeehan C. ⚽, Guinness-Walker N. (A),
84', Brown J. ↓, Hamilton C. ↑,
84', Coulson H. ↓, Hansson E. ↑,
86', Fornah T. ↓, List E. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 16 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 1.

Northampton has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Blackpool is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Northampton: Guthrie J. (Knee Injury) Jacobs M. (Knock) Shaw L. (Knee Injury) Swyer K. (Knock)

There will not play in Blackpool: Husband J. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Northampton: Guinness-Walker N. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Northampton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northampton Town
English League One
30.08.25	Leyton Orient - Northampton Town	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Northampton Town - Exeter City	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Northampton Town - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Stevenage Borough - Northampton Town	2:0 ✺
English League Cup
12.08.25	Northampton Town - Southampton	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWLLL
- Blackpool
English League One
30.08.25	Blackpool - Bolton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Plymouth Argyle - Blackpool	1:0 ✺
19.08.25	Mansfield Town - Blackpool	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Blackpool - Huddersfield Town	3:2 ✺
English League Cup
12.08.25	Blackpool - Port Vale	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
22.03.25	Northampton Town - Blackpool	0:2
16.11.24	Blackpool - Northampton Town	0:0
12.03.24	Northampton Town - Blackpool	0:1
28.11.23	Blackpool - Northampton Town	1:2
01.05.21	Northampton Town - Blackpool	0:3
02.02.21	Blackpool - Northampton Town	2:0
10.04.18	Blackpool - Northampton Town	3:0

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