Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 6

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas (Santa Cruz)

Referee: Rueda B. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Entel Gol 56


	Blooming		Bolívar

	1	X	2
	3	3.8	2.05	Watch
	2.98	3.65	2.08	Watch
	3.04	3.7	2.13
	3.19	3.35	2.21	Watch
	3	3.3	2.05
	2.99	3.52	2.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (4.19)	3.55 ↓ (4.2)	2.1 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blooming
30.3%

Draw
25.9%

Bolívar
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.9%

21.8%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

21%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blooming has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Blooming's performance.

Bolívar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bolívar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blooming than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Blooming that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bolívar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Blooming - Bolívar Predictions

Users Predictions: Bolívar will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Uraezana B. (G) 75. Ocampo M. 22. Vila J. 44. Enoumba M. 2. Cabral M. 8. Villarroel M. (C) 19. Abisab M. 16. Bejarano Da. 10. Hinojosa R. 9. Vasquez A. 88. Centella G.	1. Lampe C. (G) 8. Paz L. 33. Mena F. 5. Echeverria S. 4. Sagredo J. 11. Oyola B. 14. Robson Matheus 23. Justiniano L. (C) 80. Melgar C. A. 17. Pato Rodriguez 77. Romero D.
Substitutes
71. Almada G. (G) 28. Alvarez E. 55. Carrasco J. 23. Chura J. 70. Esdras Mendoza 29. Garces J. 17. Gimenez D. 18. Gonzales J. 11. Menacho C. 14. Mercado Galvez J. S. 33. Oliveros A. 7. Villarroel M.	9. Cauteruccio M. 18. Chavez Cruz L. L. 35. Freita E. 24. Galindo M. 19. Garcia J. 13. Mendez D. (G) 26. Saavedra E. 2. Sagredo J. 20. Sejas C. 6. Vaca Moreno E. 15. Vedia C. 7. Velasquez J.
Coaches
Gutierrez R.	Camacho S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Justiniano L. 🟨,
29', Cabral M. 🟨,
43', Pato Rodriguez 🟨,
44', Hinojosa R. 🟨,
45+1', Menacho C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Bejarano Da. 🟨,
57', Bejarano Da. ↓, Mercado Galvez J. S. ↑,
67', Pato Rodriguez ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
70', Echeverria S. ↓, Vaca Moreno E. ↑,
71', Villarroel M. ↓, Menacho C. ↑,
71', Vasquez A. ↓, Garces J. ↑,
78', Romero D. ↓, Cauteruccio M. ↑,
78', Oyola B. ↓, Velasquez J. ↑,
79', Melgar C. A. ↓, Saavedra E. ↑,
87', Centella G. ↓, Villarroel M. ↑,
90+5', Cabral M. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blooming won 0.

Blooming is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bolívar is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bolívar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bolívar could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Blooming won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 14:71. (average 0.7:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Blooming won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:29. (average 1:2.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bolivar	20	14	3	3	54:22	32	45
8	Blooming	20	6	9	5	30:22	8	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blooming Santa Cruz
Copa Sudamericana
07.05.26	Blooming - Red Bull Bragantino	0:6 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
04.05.26	Universitario de Vinto - Blooming	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
30.04.26	Carabobo - Blooming	2:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
25.04.26	ABB - Blooming	3:2 ✺
22.04.26	Blooming - Nacional Potosí	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLLW
- Bolívar La Paz
Copa Libertadores
06.05.26	Deportivo La Guaira - Bolívar	1:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
03.05.26	GVCD San José - Bolívar	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
30.04.26	Bolívar - Fluminense	2:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
26.04.26	Bolívar - Real Tomayapo	6:0 ✺
21.04.26	Bolívar - Independiente Petroleros	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Torneo Amistoso de Verano
28.02.26	Blooming - Bolívar	1:3
25.02.26	Bolívar - Blooming	5:1
Bolivian Copa Pacena
18.12.25	Bolívar - Blooming	5:0
16.12.25	Blooming - Bolívar	1:1
Bolivian Division Profesional
18.10.25	Blooming - Bolívar	1:2
Bolivian Copa Pacena
16.08.25	Blooming - Bolívar	1:1
21.05.25	Bolívar - Blooming	3:1

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