Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas (Santa Cruz)

Referee: Menendez A. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol, fubo Sports Network
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus, Inter


	Blooming		Red Bull Bragantino

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.7	2.1	Watch
	3.35	3.35	2.08
	3.49	3.54	2.16
	3.39	3.48	2.13	Watch
	3.25	3.2	2.1
	3.35	3.45	2.06	Watch
	5.9	4.1	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↓ (5.9)	3.55 ↓ (4.1)	2.02 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blooming
25.7%

Draw
27%

Red Bull Bragantino
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

23%

61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.6%

22.5%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blooming has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Blooming's performance.

Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Red Bull Bragantino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blooming than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Blooming that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Red Bull Bragantino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	11.1%	44.4%

Blooming - Red Bull Bragantino Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Blooming will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). RB Bragantino will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Blooming: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Blooming (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Uraezana B. (G) 44. Enoumba M. 22. Vila J. 3. Valverde J. 70. Esdras Mendoza 16. Bejarano Da. 8. Villarroel M. (C) 7. Villarroel M. 29. Garces J. 9. Vasquez A. 10. Hinojosa R.	1. Cleiton (G) 46. Breno 16. Gustavo Marques 14. Pedro Henrique 51. Caue Nascimento 7. Eric Ramires 22. Gustavo Neves 57. Marcelinho 20. Rodriguinho 11. Fernando Santos 8. Eduardo Sasha (C)
Substitutes
71. Almada G. (G) 28. Alvarez E. 2. Cabral M. 55. Carrasco J. 88. Centella G. 23. Chura J. 20. Loza P. 25. Melgar R. 11. Menacho C. 14. Mercado Galvez J. S. 33. Oliveros A. 5. Severiche S.	59. Filipinho 6. Gabriel 32. Herrera J. 34. Hurtado A. 29. Juninho Capixaba 21. Lucas Barbosa 30. Mosquera H. 54. Palacios W. 9. Pitta I. 15. Sosa I. 18. Tiago Volpi (G) 17. Vinicinho
Coaches
Soria M.	Vagner Mancini

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
5', 0 - 1, Rodriguinho ⚽, Eric Ramires (A),
11', 0 - 2, Gustavo Neves ⚽, Marcelinho (A),
29', Hinojosa R. 🟨,
35', Valverde J. 🟥,
40', Villarroel M. 🟨,
45', 0 - 3, Eduardo Sasha ⚽, Fernando Santos (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Villarroel M. ↓, Centella G. ↑,
46', Vasquez A. ↓, Mercado Galvez J. S. ↑,
46', Bejarano Da. ↓, Cabral M. ↑,
49', 0 - 4, Gustavo Marques ⚽, Rodriguinho (A),
57', Marcelinho 🟨,
59', 0 - 5, Fernando Santos ⚽,
61', 0 - 6, Rodriguinho ⚽, Fernando Santos (A),
66', Garces J. ↓, Menacho C. ↑,
72', Gustavo Marques ↓, Palacios W. ↑,
72', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Pitta I. ↑,
73', Caue Nascimento ↓, Filipinho ↑,
74', Marcelinho ↓, Vinicinho ↑,
75', Esdras Mendoza ↓, Carrasco J. ↑,
82', Fernando Santos ↓, Mosquera H. ↑,
87', Centella G. 🟨,

Preview

Blooming is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

RB Bragantino has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

RB Bragantino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Blooming has had a series of away games.

Recently, RB Bragantino has had a series of home games.

In this match, RB Bragantino is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Blooming won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blooming Santa Cruz
Bolivian Division Profesional
04.05.26	Universitario de Vinto - Blooming	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
30.04.26	Carabobo - Blooming	2:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
25.04.26	ABB - Blooming	3:2 ✺
22.04.26	Blooming - Nacional Potosí	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
16.04.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Blooming	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLLWL
- Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A
03.05.26	Chapecoense - Red Bull Bragantino	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
30.04.26	Red Bull Bragantino - River Plate	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
26.04.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Palmeiras	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.04.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Mirassol	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
19.04.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Remo	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
16.04.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Blooming	3:2

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