Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 12

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Portimão (Portimão)

Referee: Goncalves J. (Por)


	Portimonense		Marítimo

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.25	2.05	Watch
	3.25	3.35	2.08
	3.52	3.45	2.16
	3.35	3.34	2.11	Watch
	3.33	3.33	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (3.28)	3.34 ↓ (3.43)	2.1 (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portimonense
28%

Draw
27.7%

Marítimo
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

27.2%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

26.8%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Portimonense aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Portimonense - Marítimo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Portimonense will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Marítimo will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Portimonense (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Maycon Cleiton (G) 66. Canji A. 33. Grolli D. 6. Neves S. 40. Joao Vitor 8. Lobato S. 31. Edney 23. Ze Gabriel 93. Welinton Junior 9. Monteiro T. (C) 5. Heitor	12. Samu (G) 2. Igor Juliao 24. Da Rocha Borges R. 44. Correia R. (C) 23. Henrique P. 14. Raphael Guzzo 18. Danilovic V. 21. Bouzaidi S. 28. Carlos Daniel 10. Tejon M. 3. Butzke A.
Substitutes
2. Abel A. 47. Cagro W. 90. Canario F. 77. Cibois S. (G) 21. Dauda M. 73. Junior M. 10. Mateus Santos 37. Mateus Sarara 15. Xavier	90. Borukov P. 8. Cruz M. 9. Elis A. 25. Freitas A. 20. Gomes Aguiar F. T. 7. Pena Zauner E. 4. Santos Junior E. A. 1. Tabuaco G. (G) 79. Tavares M.
Coaches
Fernandes T.	Moita M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Carlos Daniel ⚽, Raphael Guzzo (A),
32', Monteiro T. ↓, Mateus Santos ↑,
33', Welinton Junior 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Joao Vitor ↓, Dauda M. ↑,
55', Igor Juliao 🟥,
59', Raphael Guzzo ↓, Freitas A. ↑,
65', 0 - 2, Carlos Daniel ⚽,
66', Welinton Junior ↓, Canario F. ↑,
73', Tejon M. ↓, Pena Zauner E. ↑,
73', Grolli D. ↓, Cagro W. ↑,
73', Ze Gabriel ↓, Xavier ↑,
88', Carlos Daniel ↓, Cruz M. ↑,
88', Butzke A. ↓, Borukov P. ↑,
88', Bouzaidi S. ↓, Elis A. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portimonense won 3.

Portimonense has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Marítimo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Marítimo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Portimonense won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:24. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Portimonense won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 2:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Marítimo - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.36%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portimonense SC
Portuguese Liga 2
23.11.25	Porto B - Portimonense	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Portimonense - Oliveirense	1:1 ✺
30.10.25	Portimonense - Torreense	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Paços de Ferreira - Portimonense	4:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
18.10.25	Portimonense - Arouca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- CS Marítimo
Portuguese Liga 2
23.11.25	Marítimo - Penafiel	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Marítimo - Paços de Ferreira	2:0 ✺
03.11.25	Oliveirense - Marítimo	0:2 ✺
30.10.25	Marítimo - Leiria	1:3 ✺
19.10.25	Porto B - Marítimo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
08.02.25	Marítimo - Portimonense	2:0
01.09.24	Portimonense - Marítimo	5:1
Club Friendly
20.07.24	Marítimo - Portimonense	0:0
Liga Portugal
18.02.23	Portimonense - Marítimo	2:1
27.08.22	Marítimo - Portimonense	0:1
14.05.22	Marítimo - Portimonense	0:1
09.01.22	Portimonense - Marítimo	1:2

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