Match Info

Date: 9 January 2021, Saturday


	Boavista		Santa Clara

	1	X	2
	2.37	3	3.2	Watch
	2.35	3	3.2
	2.38	2.95	3.2
	2.33	3	3.25
	2.38	3.22	3.37
	2.35	3	3.3
	2.41	2.86	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.38)	3 ↑ (2.94)	3.29 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boavista
39.9%

Draw
31.4%

Santa Clara
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

32.1%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

22%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boavista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boavista that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Clara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	28.9%	26.7%

Boavista - Santa Clara Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Boavista will win (votes: 20 - 44.4%). Santa Clara will win (votes: 12 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 28.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boavista: 29.9% – 58.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation to Liga Portugal 2 and 7).

Boavista is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Santa Clara is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Boavista have a series of guest games.

Boavista will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Boavista won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Boavista won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boavista SC
Liga Portugal
03.01.21	Marítimo - Boavista	0:0 ✺
28.12.20	Boavista - Braga	1:4 ✺
20.12.20	Paços de Ferreira - Boavista	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
12.12.20	Estoril Praia - Boavista	2:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
06.12.20	Rio Ave - Boavista	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLTLT
- CD Santa Clara
Liga Portugal
04.01.21	Santa Clara - Benfica	1:1 ✺
29.12.20	Moreirense - Santa Clara	1:0 ✺
21.12.20	Santa Clara - Vitoria Guimarães	0:4 ✺
Taça de Portugal
13.12.20	Vitoria Guimarães - Santa Clara	0:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
06.12.20	Nacional - Santa Clara	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
28.06.20	Boavista - Santa Clara	1:0
29.11.19	Santa Clara - Boavista	1:2
10.02.19	Boavista - Santa Clara	1:0
01.09.18	Santa Clara - Boavista	4:2

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