Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 25

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Bessa Século XXI (Porto)

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Montenegro	Sportklub 3
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 3
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Serbia	SportKlub 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport
World	Disney+


	Boavista		Vitoria Guimarães

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.6	1.65	Watch
	5.25	3.6	1.65
	5.5	3.75	1.63
	5.86	3.72	1.67
	5.71	3.67	1.66	Watch
	5	3.3	1.65	Watch
	5.47	3.64	1.68	Watch
	5.5	3.75	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.47 ↓ (6.15)	3.63 ↓ (3.92)	1.65 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Boavista
17.2%

Draw
25.9%

Vitoria Guimarães
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.4%

24.1%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9%

23.3%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boavista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitoria Guimarães could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Boavista - Vitoria Guimarães Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Boavista will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Guimarães will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Vaclik T. (G) 5. Lystsov V. 26. Abascal R. (C) 13. Fogning S. 7. Agra S. 18. Vukotic I. 2. Camara I. 19. Vitoria S. 8. van Ginkel M. 21. Diaby A. 11. Ariyibi G.	14. Varela B. (C) 2. Miguel Maga 24. Borevkovic T. 4. Relvas F. 13. Mendes J. 20. Samu 8. Handel T. 18. Arcanjo T. 17. Mendes J. 21. Felix V. 86. Dieu M.
Substitutes
71. Barros J. 9. Bozenik R. 1. Cesar (G) 27. Kakay O. 14. Kone M. 73. Marques A. 24. Perez S. 10. Reisinho M. 16. Silva J.	16. Beni 27. Charles Silva (G) 5. Cruz M. 11. Embalo U. 22. Hevertton S. 7. Oliveira N. 15. Rivas Viondi O. 10. Tiago Silva 3. Villanueva M.
Coaches
Vidigal L.	Freire L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Samu 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, van Ginkel M. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', Agra S. 🟨,
50', 1 - 1, Vukotic I. (Own goal),
57', Vukotic I. ↓, Kakay O. ↑,
63', Arcanjo T. ↓, Embalo U. ↑,
63', Dieu M. ↓, Oliveira N. ↑,
66', Kakay O. 🟨,
70', Handel T. ↓, Tiago Silva ↑,
70', Camara I. ↓, Reisinho M. ↑,
76', 1 - 2, Tiago Silva (Pen),
82', Lystsov V. ↓, Bozenik R. ↑,
87', Mendes J. ↓, Beni ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Boavista won 1.

Boavista is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Guimarães is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Guimarães could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Guimarães is a favorite.

There will not play in Boavista: Ferreira F. (Injury) Joao Goncalves (Knee Injury) Kurzawa L. (Muscle Injury) Moraes Pires L. H. (Knee Injury) Ribeiro M. (Inactive) Silva T. (Injury)

There will not play in Guimarães: Gaspar B. (Muscle Injury) Gustavo Silva (Muscle Injury) Ramirez J. (Inactive)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Boavista won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:12 (average 1.1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Boavista won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boavista FC
Liga Portugal
02.03.25	Boavista - Santa Clara	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Benfica - Boavista	3:0 ✺
14.02.25	Boavista - Estrela da Amadora	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Estoril Praia - Boavista	2:1 ✺
31.01.25	Boavista - Famalicão	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLLL
- Vitoria Guimarães
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.03.25	Betis - Vitoria Guimarães	2:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
01.03.25	Vitoria Guimarães - Casa Pia	1:0 ✺
24.02.25	Porto - Vitoria Guimarães	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Vitoria Guimarães - Braga	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Famalicão - Vitoria Guimarães	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
06.10.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Boavista	2:2
27.04.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Boavista	1:0
16.12.23	Boavista - Vitoria Guimarães	1:1
07.04.23	Boavista - Vitoria Guimarães	2:1
Portuguese League Cup
12.12.22	Boavista - Vitoria Guimarães	0:0
Liga Portugal
23.10.22	Vitoria Guimarães - Boavista	3:2
06.05.22	Boavista - Vitoria Guimarães	1:1

Upcoming Matches