Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 22

Date: 14 February 2025, Friday

Location: Estádio do Bessa Século XXI (Porto)

Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4


	Boavista		Estrela da Amadora

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	3.1	Watch
	2.55	2.9	3.1	Watch
	2.58	3.02	3.29
	2.52	2.99	3.15	Watch
	2.5	2.88	2.8	Watch
	2.45	3.1	3.34	Watch
	2.55	2.9	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (3.07)	2.97 ↓ (3.15)	3.13 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Boavista
37.7%

Draw
31.9%

Estrela da Amadora
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

30.1%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

26.7%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boavista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boavista's performance.

Estrela da Amadora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Estrela da Amadora might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35%	40%	25%

Boavista - Estrela da Amadora Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Boavista will win (votes: 7 - 35%). Estrela will win (votes: 5 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 18.5% – 61.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cesar (G) 15. Gomes P. 26. Abascal R. 13. Fogning S. 35. Miguel G. 18. Vukotic I. 10. Reisinho M. 24. Perez S. (C) 16. Silva J. 7. Agra S. 9. Bozenik R.	24. Costa J. (G) 4. Ferro 13. Lopes M. (C) 28. Lima R. 2. Travassos 19. Moreira P. 12. Amine 25. Varela N. 7. Fabio Ronaldo 9. Rodrigo Pinho 98. Kikas
Substitutes
71. Barros J. 3. Kurzawa L. 5. Lystsov V. 23. Machado T. 73. Marques A. 17. Namora M. 31. Vaclik T. (G) 8. van Ginkel M. 19. Vitoria S.	26. Bucca L. 17. Chico Banza 97. Jovane 42. Keliano M. 1. Meixedo F. (G) 27. Pantalon R. 10. Ruiz A. 11. Sousa G. 23. Tunguliiadi G.
Coaches
Vidigal L.	Silva L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', Miguel G. ↓, van Ginkel M. ↑,
45+2', 0 - 1, Rodrigo Pinho ⚽, Lima R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gomes P. ↓, Machado T. ↑,
60', Rodrigo Pinho ↓, Chico Banza ↑,
60', Kikas ↓, Ruiz A. ↑,
65', Ruiz A. 🟨,
71', Fabio Ronaldo ↓, Jovane ↑,
71', Lopes M. ↓, Pantalon R. ↑,
73', Machado T. ↓, Kurzawa L. ↑,
74', Kurzawa L. 🟨,
83', Moreira P. ↓, Bucca L. ↑,
87', Perez S. 🟨,
87', Vukotic I. ↓, Vitoria S. ↑,
90+6', Jovane 🟨,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation)).

Two teams has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Boavista: Camara I. (Yellow Cards) Joao Goncalves (Knee Injury) Kurzawa L. (Coach's decision) Moraes Pires L. H. (Knee Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Boavista won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1.3:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Boavista won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boavista FC
Liga Portugal
09.02.25	Estoril Praia - Boavista	2:1 ✺
31.01.25	Boavista - Famalicão	0:2 ✺
26.01.25	Braga - Boavista	3:0 ✺
20.01.25	Boavista - Casa Pia	2:3 ✺
04.01.25	Boavista - Arouca	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Estrela da Amadora
Liga Portugal
09.02.25	Casa Pia - Estrela da Amadora	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Estrela da Amadora - Benfica	2:3 ✺
25.01.25	Famalicão - Estrela da Amadora	0:0 ✺
19.01.25	Estrela da Amadora - Braga	0:1 ✺
05.01.25	Estrela da Amadora - Estoril Praia	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
16.09.24	Estrela da Amadora - Boavista	2:2
20.04.24	Boavista - Estrela da Amadora	1:1
10.12.23	Estrela da Amadora - Boavista	3:1

Upcoming Matches