Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 21

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio António Coimbra da Mota (Estoril)

Referee: Carvalho H. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 8


	Estoril Praia		Boavista

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.7	5.25	Watch
	1.63	3.75	5
	1.68	3.75	5	Watch
	1.7	4.01	5.32
	1.66	3.91	5.2	Watch
	1.65	3.5	4.8	Watch
	1.67	3.9	5.1	Watch
	1.68	3.75	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.72)	3.78 ↑ (3.74)	5.08 ↑ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estoril Praia
56.5%

Draw
24.9%

Boavista
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

25.3%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

24.2%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estoril Praia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Boavista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.4%	4.5%	9.1%

Estoril Praia - Boavista Predictions

Users Predictions: Estoril Praia will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Robles J. (G) 44. Boma K. 23. Alvaro P. (C) 25. Bacher F. 20. Pina W. 88. Xeka 10. Holsgrove J. 24. Amaral P. 99. Guitane R. 14. Begraoui Y. 12. Carvalho J.	1. Cesar (G) 35. Miguel G. 15. Gomes P. 2. Camara I. 16. Silva J. 18. Vukotic I. 10. Reisinho M. 24. Perez S. (C) 7. Agra S. 17. Namora M. 9. Bozenik R.
Substitutes
22. Carvalho P. 1. Chamorro K. (G) 18. Costa G. 17. Garcia Andrade F. 6. Jandro 19. Lacximicant A. 5. Mangala E. 9. Marques A. 7. Vinicius Zanocelo	71. Barros J. 85. Ferreira L. 74. Llorente D. 23. Machado T. 73. Marques A. 82. Sambu F. 76. Sousa T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Boma K. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Begraoui Y. ⚽, Pina W. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Boma K. ↓, Costa G. ↑,
46', 2 - 0, Begraoui Y. ⚽,
53', Camara I. 🟨,
61', 2 - 1, Bozenik R. ⚽,
62', Namora M. ↓, Barros J. ↑,
67', Guitane R. ↓, Jandro ↑,
67', Alvaro P. ↓, Mangala E. ↑,
71', Xeka 🟨,
77', Miguel G. ↓, Machado T. ↑,
77', Xeka ↓, Vinicius Zanocelo ↑,
77', Begraoui Y. ↓, Lacximicant A. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Estoril won 1.

Estoril in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Boavista has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Estoril is a favorite.

There will not play in Boavista: Joao Goncalves (Knee Injury) Moraes Pires L. H. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Estoril: Boma K. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Estoril to win the game is with odds 1.62.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Estoril won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:10 (average 1:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Estoril won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal
01.02.25	Gil Vicente - Estoril Praia	1:2 ✺
26.01.25	Estoril Praia - Vitoria Guimarães	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	Santa Clara - Estoril Praia	2:3 ✺
05.01.25	Estrela da Amadora - Estoril Praia	2:4 ✺
28.12.24	Estoril Praia - Moreirense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 36.5 WWWWT
- Boavista FC
Liga Portugal
31.01.25	Boavista - Famalicão	0:2 ✺
26.01.25	Braga - Boavista	3:0 ✺
20.01.25	Boavista - Casa Pia	2:3 ✺
04.01.25	Boavista - Arouca	1:3 ✺
28.12.24	Porto - Boavista	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
31.08.24	Boavista - Estoril Praia	0:0
10.02.24	Boavista - Estoril Praia	2:1
03.09.23	Estoril Praia - Boavista	1:2
06.05.23	Boavista - Estoril Praia	1:0
09.02.23	Estoril Praia - Boavista	2:1
27.02.22	Estoril Praia - Boavista	2:3
27.09.21	Boavista - Estoril Praia	1:1

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