Match Info

Date: 2 January 2021, Saturday


	Boca Juniors		River Plate Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.65
	2.5	3.1	2.75
	2.47	2.95	2.75
	2.59	3.22	2.88
	2.5	2.9	2.8
	2.62	3.15	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.05)	3.09 ↓ (3.19)	2.8 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boca Juniors
36.9%

Draw
30%

River Plate Montevideo
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

28.9%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

21.7%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boca Juniors's form might have worsened.

River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting River Plate Montevideo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+23.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boca Juniors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for River Plate Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.9%	5.9%	13.2%

Boca Juniors - River Plate Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: Boca Juniors will win (55 of 68 users predict this - 80.88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.53% – 90.23%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Boca Juniors could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 26 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 8 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 20-31.

Including matches at home between the teams Boca Juniors won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9-18.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
27.12.20	Boca Juniors - Huracán	3:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
23.12.20	Boca Juniors - Racing	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
20.12.20	Independiente - Boca Juniors	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
16.12.20	Racing - Boca Juniors	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
12.12.20	Boca Juniors - Arsenal Sarandí	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWLT
- River Plate Montevideo
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
27.12.20	River Plate Montevideo - Arsenal Sarandí	2:1 ✺
20.12.20	Huracán - River Plate Montevideo	1:3 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
18.12.20	San Lorenzo - River Plate Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
17.12.20	Nacional - River Plate Montevideo	2:6 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
13.12.20	River Plate Montevideo - Argentinos Juniors	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
22.10.19	Boca Juniors - River Plate Montevideo	1:0
01.10.19	River Plate Montevideo - Boca Juniors	2:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.09.19	River Plate Montevideo - Boca Juniors	0:0
Copa Libertadores
09.12.18	River Plate Montevideo - Boca Juniors	3:1 ET
11.11.18	Boca Juniors - River Plate Montevideo	2:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.09.18	Boca Juniors - River Plate Montevideo	0:2
Argentinian Super Cup
14.03.18	Boca Juniors - River Plate Montevideo	0:2

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