Match Info

Date: 9 May 2021, Sunday


	Bochum		Jahn Regensburg

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	6.5	Watch
	1.53	4.33	6	Watch
	1.5	4.1	6.4
	1.48	4.5	5.8
	1.5	4.55	6.9
	1.5	4.2	6
	1.53	4.5	5.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.6)	4.38 ↑ (4.02)	6.19 ↑ (5.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bochum
63.1%

Draw
21.6%

Jahn Regensburg
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

23.6%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7%

19.8%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bochum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Jahn Regensburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bochum, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jahn Regensburg than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.2%	5.3%	10.5%

Bochum - Jahn Regensburg Predictions

Users Predictions: Bochum will win (32 of 38 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.62% – 95.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 14).

Bochum has the most likely position - 1 (63.28%), has project points - 65, has currently - 60, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of promoted (93%), has a good chance of win league (63%).

Regensburg has the most likely position - 14 (68.93%), has project points - 39, has currently - 35, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has not chance of promoted.

Recent matches Bochum is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Regensburg is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Bochum is absolute favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Bochum won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Bochum won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Bochum
German 2 Bundesliga
26.04.21	Darmstadt - Bochum	3:1 ✺
21.04.21	Heidenheim - Bochum	0:2 ✺
18.04.21	Bochum - Hannover	4:3 ✺
10.04.21	Paderborn - Bochum	3:0 ✺
03.04.21	Bochum - Holstein Kiel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWLW
- Jahn Regensburg
German 2 Bundesliga
25.04.21	Jahn Regensburg - Hamburger SV	1:1 ✺
21.04.21	Hannover - Jahn Regensburg	3:1 ✺
18.04.21	Jahn Regensburg - Heidenheim	0:3 ✺
14.04.21	Osnabrück - Jahn Regensburg	0:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
07.04.21	Jahn Regensburg - Werder Bremen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
10.01.21	Jahn Regensburg - Bochum	0:2
22.12.19	Bochum - Jahn Regensburg	2:3
28.07.19	Jahn Regensburg - Bochum	3:1
05.04.19	Jahn Regensburg - Bochum	2:1
29.10.18	Bochum - Jahn Regensburg	3:3
13.05.18	Bochum - Jahn Regensburg	1:1
09.12.17	Jahn Regensburg - Bochum	0:1

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