Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 34

Date: 28 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Jahnstadion Regensburg (Regensburg)

Referee: Storks S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Bundesliga, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Sweden	Viaplay


	Jahn Regensburg		Heidenheim

	1	X	2
	7	4.5	1.5	Watch
	6	4.4	1.51	Watch
	6	4.3	1.5
	6.51	4.59	1.52
	5.8	4.2	1.4	Watch
	5.95	4.5	1.5	Watch
	6	4.5	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.18 ↑ (4.67)	4.43 ↑ (4.15)	1.49 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Jahn Regensburg
15.3%

Draw
21.3%

Heidenheim
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

22.9%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

21.9%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jahn Regensburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Heidenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Heidenheim's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jahn Regensburg than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.5%	0%	81.5%

Jahn Regensburg - Heidenheim Predictions

Users Predictions: Heidenheim will win (22 of 27 users predict this - 81.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.83% – 96.13%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Urbig J. (G) 6. Saller B. 23. Breitkreuz S. 24. Kennedy S. 20. Guwara L. 8. Thalhammer M. 5. Gimber B. (C) 11. Faber K. 19. Albers A. 18. Yildirim A. 9. Owusu P.	1. Muller K. (G) 2. Busch M. 6. Mainka P. (C) 4. Siersleben T. 19. Fohrenbach J. 3. Schoppner J. 33. Maloney L. 17. Pick F. 11. Thomalla D. 37. Beste J. 10. Kleindienst T.
Substitutes
33. Elvedi J. 39. Graf J. 14. Idrizi B. 21. Kirschbaum T. (G) 29. Mees J. 28. Nachreiner S. 16. Schonfelder O. 7. Shipnoski N. 15. Singh S.	21. Beck A. 20. Burnic D. 22. Eicher V. (G) 8. Geipl A. 27. Keller T. 24. Kuhlwetter C. 9. Schimmer S. 16. Sessa K. 30. Theuerkauf N.
Coaches
Enochs J.	Schmidt F.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).

Regensburg has the most likely position - 17 (97.03%), project points - 32, currently - 31, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of promoted.

Heidenheim has the most likely position - 2 (51.82%), project points - 66, currently - 64, not chance of relegated, a good chance of promoted (74%), a chance of win league (17%).

This event has small quality 29, importance 50, match rating 40. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Regensburg won 0.

Regensburg is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Heidenheim is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Heidenheim is certain favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Regensburg won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Regensburg won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jahn Regensburg
German 2 Bundesliga
20.05.23	Eintracht Braunschweig - Jahn Regensburg	1:2 ✺
14.05.23	Jahn Regensburg - Hamburger SV	1:5 ✺
06.05.23	Hansa Rostock - Jahn Regensburg	2:0 ✺
30.04.23	Sandhausen - Jahn Regensburg	2:1 ✺
23.04.23	Jahn Regensburg - Kaiserslautern	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLLT
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
German 2 Bundesliga
20.05.23	Heidenheim - Sandhausen	1:0 ✺
14.05.23	Paderborn - Heidenheim	3:2 ✺
07.05.23	Heidenheim - Magdeburg	0:0 ✺
28.04.23	Greuther Fürth - Heidenheim	0:2 ✺
23.04.23	Heidenheim - Holstein Kiel	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
12.11.22	Heidenheim - Jahn Regensburg	5:4
07.05.22	Jahn Regensburg - Heidenheim	0:2
05.12.21	Heidenheim - Jahn Regensburg	3:0
18.04.21	Jahn Regensburg - Heidenheim	0:3
15.12.20	Heidenheim - Jahn Regensburg	0:0
13.06.20	Heidenheim - Jahn Regensburg	4:1
24.11.19	Jahn Regensburg - Heidenheim	3:1

Upcoming Matches