Match Info

Date: 10 December 2021, Friday


	Jahn Regensburg		Werder Bremen

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.2	3.7	2.1	Watch
	3.35	3.65	2.04
	3.35	3.55	2.05
	3.51	3.64	2.13
	3.3	3.7	1.95	Watch
	3.22	3.98	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (2.55)	3.66 ↑ (3.46)	2.06 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jahn Regensburg
28.3%

Draw
25.8%

Werder Bremen
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

27.2%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

19.8%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jahn Regensburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jahn Regensburg's form might have worsened.

Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Werder Bremen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jahn Regensburg than the current prediction. (+22.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jahn Regensburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-19.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Werder Bremen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.1%	26.6%	45.3%

Jahn Regensburg - Werder Bremen Predictions

Users Predictions: 64 users predict this event. Regensburg will win (votes: 18 - 28.1%). Werder will win (votes: 29 - 45.3%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 26.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Werder: 33.1% – 57.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Regensburg has the most likely position - 9 (10.16%), has project points - 50, has currently - 28, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Werder has the most likely position - 4 (12.09%), has project points - 54, has currently - 23, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (21%), has a small chance of win league (6%).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Werder will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Regensburg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Regensburg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jahn Regensburg
German 2 Bundesliga
05.12.21	Heidenheim - Jahn Regensburg	3:0 ✺
26.11.21	Jahn Regensburg - Dynamo Dresden	3:1 ✺
20.11.21	Hamburger SV - Jahn Regensburg	4:1 ✺
06.11.21	Jahn Regensburg - Hansa Rostock	2:3 ✺
31.10.21	Ingolstadt - Jahn Regensburg	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLLW
- Werder Bremen
German 2 Bundesliga
03.12.21	Werder Bremen - Erzgebirge Aue	4:0 ✺
27.11.21	Holstein Kiel - Werder Bremen	2:1 ✺
20.11.21	Werder Bremen - Schalke 04	1:1 ✺
05.11.21	Nürnberg - Werder Bremen	1:2 ✺
30.10.21	Werder Bremen - St. Pauli	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

German DFB Pokal
07.04.21	Jahn Regensburg - Werder Bremen	0:1

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