Match Info

GERMANY: BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 11

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	04:30	beIN Sports
Bulgaria	19:30	Nova Sport
Cameroon	18:30	CRTV
Cyprus	19:30	Nova Sports
Czech Republic	18:30	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	18:30	See, Viaplay
Finland	19:30	MTV Urheilu, Viaplay
France	18:30	beIN Sports Max
Germany	18:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	19:30	Nova Sports
Hungary	18:30	Arena 4
Italy	18:30	Sky Sport
Netherlands	18:30	Viaplay
Norway	18:30	Viaplay
Poland	18:30	Viaplay
Portugal	17:30	Eleven Sports 3
Slovenia	18:30	Sport TV
Sweden	18:30	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Ukraine	19:30	Setanta Sports


	Bochum		Köln

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.4	2.7	Watch
	2.55	3.5	2.6	Watch
	2.65	3.6	2.65	Watch
	2.67	3.61	2.66
	2.67	3.61	2.66
	2.5	3.5	2.6
	2.59	3.64	2.61	Watch
	2.6	3.7	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.34)	3.57 ↓ (3.6)	2.64 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bochum
36.8%

Draw
26.9%

Köln
36.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.6%

26.4%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

26.3%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bochum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
48.3%	27.6%	24.1%

Bochum - Köln Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Bochum will win (votes: 14 - 48.3%). Köln will win (votes: 7 - 24.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 27.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bochum: 30.1% – 66.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Riemann M. (G) 2. Gamboa C. 4. Masovic E. 31. Schlotterbeck K. 5. Bernardo 13. Daschner L. 6. Osterhage P. 7. Stoger K. (C) 11. Asano T. 33. Hofmann P. 27. Kwarteng M.	1. Schwabe M. (G) 18. Carstensen R. 4. Hubers T. 24. Chabot J. 3. Heintz D. 6. Martel E. 11. Kainz F. (C) 9. Waldschmidt L. 13. Uth M. 37. Maina L. 27. Selke D.
Substitutes
22. Antwi-Adjei C. 29. Broschinski M. 10. Forster P. 41. Loosli N. 14. Oermann T. 9. Paciencia G. 15. Passlack F. 23. Thiede N. (G) 32. Wittek M.	40. Alidou F. 8. Huseinbasic D. 15. Kilian L. 44. Kobbing M. (G) 47. Olesen M. 17. Paqarada L. 2. Schmitz B. 29. Thielmann J. 21. Tigges S.
Coaches
Letsch T.	Baumgart S.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bochum won 1.

Recent matches Bochum is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Köln is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Köln could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Bochum: Bero M. (Knee Injury) Esser M. (Knee Injury) Mousset L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ordets I. (Muscle Injury) Osei-Tutu J. (Muscle Injury) Romling M. (Back Injury) Tolba M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Köln: Christensen J. (Injury) Pentke P. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Köln: Downs D. (Knock) Ljubicic D. (Illness)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Bochum won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Bochum won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Bochum
German Bundesliga
03.11.23	Darmstadt - Bochum	1:2 ✺
27.10.23	Bochum - Mainz	2:2 ✺
21.10.23	Freiburg - Bochum	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.10.23	Bochum - Hannover	1:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
07.10.23	RB Leipzig - Bochum	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WTLLT
- 1. FC Köln
German Bundesliga
04.11.23	Köln - Augsburg	1:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
31.10.23	Kaiserslautern - Köln	3:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
28.10.23	RB Leipzig - Köln	6:0 ✺
22.10.23	Köln - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:1 ✺
08.10.23	Bayer Leverkusen - Köln	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
10.03.23	Köln - Bochum	0:2
18.09.22	Bochum - Köln	1:1
22.01.22	Bochum - Köln	2:2
28.08.21	Köln - Bochum	2:1
Club Friendly
23.01.19	Köln - Bochum	2:1
German 2 Bundesliga
21.12.18	Köln - Bochum	2:3
04.08.18	Bochum - Köln	0:2

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