Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 20

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Vonovia Ruhrstadion (Bochum)

Referee: Bacher M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Onefootball


	Bochum		Schalke 04

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.3	3	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.7
	2.32	3.2	2.98	Watch
	2.4	3.26	3.34
	2.3	3.31	3.18	Watch
	2.25	3	3.1
	2.4	3.13	3.03	Watch
	2.25	3.25	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.56)	3.23 ↓ (3.27)	3.07 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bochum
40.2%

Draw
29.1%

Schalke 04
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

28.3%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

28.5%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bochum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Schalke 04 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	30.8%	23.1%

Bochum - Schalke 04 Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Bochum will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Schalke will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bochum: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Bochum (1.65) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bochum will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Bochum (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Horn T. (G) 39. Morgalla L. 20. Loosli N. 3. Strompf P. (C) 32. Wittek M. 34. Lenz C. 23. Miyoshi K. 21. Onyeka F. 17. Holtmann G. 16. Marshall C. 33. Hofmann P.	1. Karius L. (G) 5. Becker T. 25. Katic N. (C) 43. Ayhan M. 35. Wallentowitz M. 23. El-Faouzi S. 6. Schallenberg R. 2. Sanchez F. 21. Ljubicic D. 19. Karaman K. 7. Gomis C.
Substitutes
29. Alfa-Ruprecht F. 35. Koscierski K. 11. Kwarteng M. 4. Masovic E. 15. Passlack F. 18. Rakneberg M. 31. Sobottka M. 22. Thiede N. (G) 8. Watjen K.	31. Dietrich T. 10. Dzeko E. 37. Gruger M. 45. Khadr M. 22. Muller K. (G) 46. Popperl P. 27. Porath F. 36. Siebeking J. (G) 8. Younes A.
Coaches
Rosler U.	Muslic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Miyoshi K. ⚽, Holtmann G. (A),
43', 2 - 0, Hofmann P. ⚽, Holtmann G. (A),
45+2', Holtmann G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Wallentowitz M. ↓, Dzeko E. ↑,
46', Holtmann G. ↓, Alfa-Ruprecht F. ↑,
47', Marshall C. 🟨,
62', Miyoshi K. ↓, Passlack F. ↑,
64', Onyeka F. 🟨,
70', Gomis C. ↓, Younes A. ↑,
70', Marshall C. ↓, Sobottka M. ↑,
81', Sanchez F. ↓, Dietrich T. ↑,
82', Wittek M. ↓, Rakneberg M. ↑,
82', Onyeka F. ↓, Masovic E. ↑,
90+2', Passlack F. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Bochum: Bero M. (Ankle Injury) Sissoko I. (Injury)

There will not play in Schalke: Becker V. (Knock) Donkor A. (Ankle Injury) Gantenbein A. (Calf Injury) Gruger M. (Injury) Hojlund E. (Heel Injury) Kalas T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Lasme B. (Knee Injury) Leonard D. (Ankle Injury) Matriciani H. (Knee Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bochum won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.6:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bochum won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Bochum: 1.14%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Bochum	6	2	1	3	5:6	-1	7

Last Results with these Odds

Schalke 04 - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 35.64%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Bochum
German 2 Bundesliga
25.01.26	Elversberg - Bochum	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Bochum - Darmstadt	3:3 ✺
20.12.25	Bochum - Karlsruher	2:2 ✺
13.12.25	Hannover - Bochum	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Bochum - Arminia Bielefeld	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TTTTW
- Schalke 04
German 2 Bundesliga
25.01.26	Schalke 04 - Kaiserslautern	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Hertha Berlin - Schalke 04	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.01.26	Osnabrück - Schalke 04	0:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
21.12.25	Eintracht Braunschweig - Schalke 04	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Schalke 04 - Nürnberg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
23.08.25	Schalke 04 - Bochum	2:1
German Bundesliga
04.03.23	Bochum - Schalke 04	0:2
10.09.22	Schalke 04 - Bochum	3:1
Club Friendly
05.09.20	Schalke 04 - Bochum	3:0
05.08.14	Bochum - Schalke 04	1:1

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