The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Go Ahead Eagles 33.2%
Draw 25.3%
AZ Alkmaar 41.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.5%
25.6%
41.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.3%
24.7%
43.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Go Ahead Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
41.7%
33.3%
Go Ahead Eagles - AZ Alkmaar Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Go Ahead will win (votes: 3 - 30%). AZ will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +0.25 - Go Ahead (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Go Ahead (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. De Busser J. (G) 2. Sampsted A. 26. Dirksen J. 4. Kramer J. (C) 29. Adelgaard A. 21. Meulensteen M. 7. Breum J. 10. Tengstedt S. 16. Edvardsen V. 17. Suray M. 9. Sigurdarson S. I.
1. Owusu-Oduro R. (G) 18. Ichihara R. 5. Penetra 23. van Duijl B. 22. Dijkstra E. 33. Sin M. 10. Mijnans S. (C) 15. Chavez Garcia M. 7. Weslley Patati 35. Meerdink M. 17. Jensen I.
Substitutes
23. Baeten T. 24. Goudmijn K. 5. James D. 8. Linthorst E. 18. Margaret R. 1. Plogmann L. (G) 34. Salah Rahmouni Y. 11. Sivertsen O. 19. Slory J. 27. Stokkers F. 25. van Zwam G. 20. Waayers E.
20. Boogaard K. 27. Daal R. 4. Dekker M. 34. de Wit M. 3. Goes W. 30. Kasius D. 45. Kovacs B. 2. Maikuma S. 24. Oufkir A. 11. Sadiq I. 26. Smit K. 12. Verhulst H. (G)
Coaches
Boel M.
Echteld L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Meulensteen M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Sin M. ↓, Smit K. ↑,
63', Chavez Garcia M. ↓, Kasius D. ↑,
64', Sigurdarson S. I. ↓, Stokkers F. ↑,
64', Tengstedt S. ↓, Baeten T. ↑,
66', Dirksen J. 🟨,
74', Meerdink M. ↓, Kovacs B. ↑,
74', Weslley Patati ↓, Daal R. ↑,
74', Sampsted A. ↓, James D. ↑,
80', Kasius D. 🟨,
86', Ichihara R. ↓, Goes W. ↑,
89', Breum J. ↓, Sivertsen O. ↑,
89', Edvardsen V. ↓, Goudmijn K. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Go Ahead won 1.
Recent performances by Go Ahead have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
AZ is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Go Ahead may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, AZ has had a series of home games.
AZ will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Go Ahead: Nauber G.
(Broken Leg)
Saathof P.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in AZ: Hornkamp J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Go Ahead: Dirksen J.
(Injury)
Weijenberg R.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in AZ: Clasie J.
(Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Go Ahead won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:44. (average 1:2.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Go Ahead won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:20. (average 1:2.5).