Match Info

COLOMBIA: Primera B - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 15 April 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Techo (Bogotá)


	Bogotá		Llaneros SA

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.33	3.6	1.63
	4.75	3.6	1.68	Watch
	5.54	3.7	1.67
	5.54	3.62	1.67
	4.75	3.6	1.6
	4.69	3.55	1.71	Watch
	4.5	3.7	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.87 ↑ (4.2)	3.62 ↑ (3.27)	1.66 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bogotá
18.9%

Draw
25.5%

Llaneros SA
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

28.3%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

27.5%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bogotá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Llaneros SA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Llaneros SA's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bogotá than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Bogotá - Llaneros SA Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Agamez W. (G) 26. Berrio C. 10. Cundumi I. 3. Diaz Perez S. M. 16. Gutierrez A. 15. Obregon L. 13. Ramos Jaramillo H. 5. Salazar S. (C) 4. Vargas N. 9. Vergara C. 8. Zambrano C.	1. Armesto K. (G) 20. Angulo J. 32. Arbelaez F. 31. Montes G. 27. Mosquera D. 17. Ordonez Ayovi R. J. 21. Ospina N. 6. Sierra M. 10. Uruena B. (C) 15. Valencia C. 26. Verdugo A.
Substitutes
29. Aguilar D. (G) 24. Dominguez A. 25. Gordillo J. 7. Rodallega C. 14. Sanchez S. 6. Velasco S. 23. Viafara A.	29. Alvarez M. 33. Lasso J. 8. Lopez A. 70. Mayorga J. 5. Restrepo E. 24. Solis J. 25. Tunjano M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Cundumi I. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Verdugo A. ⚽,
41', Vergara C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Gutierrez A. 🟨,
59', Cundumi I. ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
59', Obregon L. ↓, Dominguez A. ↑,
65', Ordonez Ayovi R. J. ↓, Alvarez M. ↑,
68', 1 - 2, Ospina N. ⚽,
72', Ospina N. ↓, Mayorga J. ↑,
86', Gutierrez A. ↓, Velasco S. ↑,
86', Berrio C. ↓, Gordillo J. ↑,
86', Zambrano C. ↓, Rodallega C. ↑,
87', Montes G. 🟨,
88', Montes G. ↓, Solis J. ↑,
88', Verdugo A. ↓, Restrepo E. ↑,
88', Sierra M. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
90+2', Gordillo J. 🟨,
90+3', Mosquera D. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bogotá won 0.

Bogotá has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Llaneros SA is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bogotá could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Llaneros SA have a series of home games.

In this match Llaneros SA is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Bogotá won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Bogotá won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bogotá FC
Colombian Primera B
06.04.24	Real Santander - Bogotá	3:0 ✺
26.03.24	Bogotá - Tigres	0:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
21.03.24	Once Caldas - Bogotá	4:1 ✺
Colombian Primera B
16.03.24	Cúcuta Deportivo - Bogotá	6:0 ✺
10.03.24	Bogotá - Deportes Quindío	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLT
- Llaneros Fútbol Club SA
Colombian Copa
10.04.24	Llaneros SA - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:2 ✺
Colombian Primera B
03.04.24	Llaneros SA - Cúcuta Deportivo	0:0 ✺
24.03.24	Llaneros SA - Real Cundinamarca	3:3 ✺
18.03.24	Tigres - Llaneros SA	1:1 ✺
11.03.24	Llaneros SA - Barranquilla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
25.08.23	Bogotá - Llaneros SA	0:0
08.03.23	Llaneros SA - Bogotá	2:0
03.09.22	Llaneros SA - Bogotá	2:0
03.05.22	Bogotá - Llaneros SA	0:1
29.11.21	Bogotá - Llaneros SA	1:3
14.11.21	Llaneros SA - Bogotá	2:0
30.10.21	Bogotá - Llaneros SA	2:1

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