Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Hernando Siles (La Paz)

Referee: Ospina J. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter


	Bolívar		Cienciano

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.2	5.5	Watch
	1.51	4.5	5.25
	1.41	4.95	7.4	Watch
	1.59	4.33	5.39
	1.59	3.77	5.69	Watch
	1.5	4.2	5.5	Watch
	1.44	4.9	6.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.59)	4.41 ↑ (4.33)	5.89 ↑ (4.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bolívar
62.5%

Draw
21.5%

Cienciano
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

21.7%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

21.1%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Cienciano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Bolívar - Cienciano Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Bolívar (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 - Cienciano (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Bolívar (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bolívar will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Bolívar (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Cienciano (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lampe C. (G) 22. Rocha Y. 3. Torren M. 5. Echeverria S. 4. Sagredo J. 14. Robson Matheus 23. Justiniano L. (C) 99. Batallini D. 80. Melgar C. A. 17. Pato Rodriguez 9. Cauteruccio M.	29. Barrios I. (G) 6. Galeano L. 4. Amondarain M. 70. Valoyes J. 22. Neira C. 18. Gamero Y. 14. Torrejon C. (C) 8. Gonzalez A. 7. Souza Espana C. 10. Hohberg A. 21. Garces C.
Substitutes
10. Catano D. 33. Lanzillotta F. (G) 7. Mena F. 25. Mendez D. (G) 8. Paz L. 32. Ramirez R. 35. Rivero E. 77. Romero D. 26. Saavedra E. 2. Sagredo J. 6. Vaca Moreno E. 21. Velasquez J.	39. Aguirre G. 15. Amasifuen N. 20. Benites Vargas L. E. 24. Bolado J. (G) 30. Da Silva B. 17. Noronha O. 2. Ortiz D. 27. Ortiz J. 26. Palomino R. 55. Ramua A.
Coaches
Robatto F.	Desio C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Cauteruccio M. ⚽, Pato Rodriguez (A),
31', Echeverria S. ↓, Sagredo J. ↑,
42', Pato Rodriguez ↓, Catano D. ↑,
45+1', Galeano L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Justiniano L. 🟨,
53', Valoyes J. 🟨,
58', 2 - 0, Batallini D. ⚽, Sagredo J. (A),
64', Souza Espana C. ↓, Da Silva B. ↑,
64', Gonzalez A. ↓, Aguirre G. ↑,
70', Aguirre G. 🟨,
70', Melgar C. A. ↓, Romero D. ↑,
71', Batallini D. ↓, Saavedra E. ↑,
73', Hohberg A. ↓, Benites Vargas L. E. ↑,
79', Neira C. ↓, Palomino R. ↑,
90', Sagredo J. 🟨,
90+4', Catano D. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Cienciano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bolívar is a strong favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bolívar La Paz
Bolivian Division Profesional
09.08.25	Bolívar - Real Tomayapo	5:0 ✺
06.08.25	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Bolívar	0:1 ✺
02.08.25	Real Oruro - Bolívar	3:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
27.07.25	Bolívar - Jorge Wilstermann	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.07.25	Palestino - Bolívar	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLLW
- Cienciano
Peruvian Liga 1
08.08.25	Comerciantes Unidos - Cienciano	1:1 ✺
04.08.25	Cienciano - Los Chankas	3:0 ✺
01.08.25	Deportivo Garcilaso - Cienciano	2:1 ✺
26.07.25	Cienciano - Universitario de Deportes	1:1 ✺
19.07.25	ADT Tarma - Cienciano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWLTL

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