Match Info

Europa League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna)

Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Bologna		Brann

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.5	5.5
	1.43	4.75	6.75
	1.58	4.2	6
	1.56	4.42	5.81
	1.56	4.3	5.72	Watch
	1.53	4	5
	1.58	4.58	5.6
	1.4	4.75	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.4)	4.44 ↓ (4.65)	5.99 ↓ (8.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bologna
62.6%

Draw
21.5%

Brann
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

20.5%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

15.1%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bologna's form might have worsened.

Brann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bologna that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brann than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.1%	15.9%	0%

Bologna - Brann Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Brann (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Bologna (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bologna will win (37 of 44 users predict this - 84.09%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.28% – 94.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bologna will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Bologna (votes: 15 - 93.8%). Brann (votes: 1 - 6.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Skorupski L. (G) 20. Zortea N. 41. Vitik M. 26. Lucumi J. 17. Joao Mario 19. Ferguson L. (C) 8. Freuler R. 6. Moro N. 10. Bernardeschi F. 9. Castro S. 11. Rowe J.	1. Dyngeland M. (G) 21. De Roeve D. 3. Knudsen F. (C) 4. Boakye N. 17. Soltvedt J. 10. Ingason K. M. 18. Sorensen J. 8. Myhre F. 14. Mathisen U. 29. Holm N. 16. Thorsteinsson J. D.
Substitutes
70. Baroncioni D. 28. Cambiaghi N. 16. Casale N. 24. Dallinga T. 30. Dominguez B. 14. Heggem T. 21. Odgaard J. 7. Orsolini R. 25. Pessina M. (G) 4. Pobega T. 13. Ravaglia F. (G) 23. Sohm S.	20. Dragsnes V. 40. Eikrem J. 11. Finne B. 32. Haaland M. 43. Holten R. 24. Klausen M. (G) 39. Laegreid J. 12. Nilsen S. (G) 23. Pedersen T. 41. Remmem L. 27. Sande M. 25. Wassberg N.
Coaches
Italiano V.	Alexandersson F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Vitik M. 🟨,
37', Sorensen J. 🟥,
41', Bernardeschi F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, Joao Mario ⚽,
60', Ingason K. M. ↓, Pedersen T. ↑,
61', Bernardeschi F. ↓, Orsolini R. ↑,
61', Vitik M. ↓, Casale N. ↑,
73', Freuler R. ↓, Odgaard J. ↑,
73', Mathisen U. ↓, Holten R. ↑,
73', Thorsteinsson J. D. ↓, Haaland M. ↑,
78', Holten R. 🟨,
78', Castro S. ↓, Dominguez B. ↑,
78', Moro N. ↓, Sohm S. ↑,
80', Orsolini R. 🟨,
85', Soltvedt J. ↓, Dragsnes V. ↑,
85', Holm N. ↓, Finne B. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 1-0. Second leg.

Recent performances by Bologna have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Brann has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Brann may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bologna is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K. (Inactive) De Silvestri L. (Inactive) Dominguez B. (Illness) Fauske Helland E. (Inactive) Lykogiannis C. (Hamstring Injury) Miranda J. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Brann: Gudmundsson E. (Injury) Hellan M. (Inactive) Magnusson S. (Knee Injury) Opsahl S. (Foot Injury) Torsvik J. (Knock)

There are questionable in Brann: Castro N. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Bologna won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bologna FC
Italian Serie A
23.02.26	Bologna - Udinese	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.02.26	Brann - Bologna	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
15.02.26	Torino - Bologna	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
11.02.26	Bologna - Lazio	1:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
08.02.26	Bologna - Parma	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWLL
- SK Brann
Club Friendly
20.02.26	Brann - Sotra	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.02.26	Brann - Bologna	0:1 ✺
29.01.26	Sturm Graz - Brann	1:0 ✺
22.01.26	Brann - Midtjylland	3:3 ✺
Club Friendly
16.01.26	Slavia Prague - Brann	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
19.02.26	Brann - Bologna	0:1
06.11.25	Bologna - Brann	0:0

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