Match Info

Serie A - Round 24

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna)

Referee: Collu G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Events
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Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DAZN
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
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Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
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Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
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Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN, Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	DAZN, Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab


	Bologna		Parma

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.9	5.5	Watch
	1.65	3.95	5.4	Watch
	1.66	3.9	5.8
	1.6	4.01	5.78	Watch
	1.62	3.6	5
	1.66	4	5.64
	1.63	4	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.61)	3.91 ↓ (4.05)	5.49 ↑ (5.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bologna
58.3%

Draw
24.4%

Parma
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

23.5%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

23%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.1%	15.4%	20.5%

Bologna - Parma Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Bologna will win (votes: 24 - 63.2%). Parma will win (votes: 8 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bologna: 47.9% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Bologna (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Parma (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Bologna (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Parma (5.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Bologna (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Parma (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Skorupski L. (G) 17. Joao Mario 26. Lucumi J. 14. Heggem T. 22. Lykogiannis C. 8. Freuler R. 4. Pobega T. 10. Bernardeschi F. 19. Ferguson L. (C) 11. Rowe J. 24. Dallinga T.	40. Corvi E. (G) 15. Delprato E. (C) 37. Troilo M. 39. Circati A. 27. Britschgi S. 10. Bernabe A. 16. Keita M. 22. Sorensen O. 14. Valeri E. 21. Oristanio G. 9. Pellegrino M.
Substitutes
28. Cambiaghi N. 16. Casale N. 9. Castro S. 30. Dominguez B. 5. Fauske Helland E. 33. Miranda J. 6. Moro N. 21. Odgaard J. 7. Orsolini R. 25. Pessina M. (G) 13. Ravaglia F. (G) 23. Sohm S. 41. Vitik M. 20. Zortea N.	29. Carboni F. 67. Casentini G. (G) 25. Cremaschi B. 61. Drobnic D. 23. Elphege N. 76. Mikolajewski D. 41. Nicolussi Caviglia H. 17. Ondrejka J. 24. Ordonez C. 66. Rinaldi F. (G) 7. Strefezza G.
Coaches
Italiano V.	Cuesta C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Pobega T. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Joao Mario ↓, Zortea N. ↑,
49', Britschgi S. 🟨,
54', Oristanio G. ↓, Strefezza G. ↑,
57', Dallinga T. ↓, Castro S. ↑,
61', Troilo M. 🟨,
68', Lykogiannis C. ↓, Miranda J. ↑,
76', Lucumi J. 🟨,
79', Sorensen O. ↓, Ordonez C. ↑,
79', Troilo M. 🟨,
86', Bernabe A. ↓, Carboni F. ↑,
87', Keita M. ↓, Nicolussi Caviglia H. ↑,
87', Bernardeschi F. ↓, Orsolini R. ↑,
87', Rowe J. ↓, Cambiaghi N. ↑,
90+5', 0 - 1, Ordonez C. ⚽, Nicolussi Caviglia H. (A),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 3.

Bologna is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Parma's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Parma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bologna is the team to beat.

There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K. (Inactive)

There will not play in Parma: Frigan M. (Knee Injury) Ndiaye A. (Groin Injury) Suzuki Z. (Finger Injury) Valenti L. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Bologna: De Silvestri L. (Abdominal strain) Lucumi J. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:15. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Bologna won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:8. (average 1.8:1).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Bologna: 0.25% Parma: 0.2%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4:7	-3	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3:6	-3	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bologna FC
Italian Serie A
03.02.26	Bologna - Milan	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Bologna	0:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
25.01.26	Genoa - Bologna	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Bologna - Celtic	2:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
18.01.26	Bologna - Fiorentina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLTL
- FC Parma
Italian Serie A
01.02.26	Parma - Juventus	1:4 ✺
25.01.26	Atalanta - Parma	4:0 ✺
18.01.26	Parma - Genoa	0:0 ✺
14.01.26	Napoli - Parma	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Lecce - Parma	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
04.12.25	Bologna - Parma	2:1
Italian Serie A
02.11.25	Parma - Bologna	1:3
22.02.25	Parma - Bologna	2:0
06.10.24	Bologna - Parma	0:0
07.02.21	Parma - Bologna	0:3
28.09.20	Bologna - Parma	4:1
12.07.20	Parma - Bologna	2:2

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