Match Info

Serie A - Round 25

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Olimpico di Torino (Turin)

Referee: Fourneau F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3
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Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
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Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
Chile	ESPN 3
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 3, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DAZN
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Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
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Italy	DAZN Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
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Uruguay	DAZN, Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	DAZN, Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360, VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Torino		Bologna

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.45	Watch
	3.05	3.15	2.48	Watch
	3.23	3.18	2.52
	3.09	3.15	2.46	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.45
	3.23	3.22	2.53
	3.2	3.1	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↓ (3.26)	3.16 ↓ (3.33)	2.47 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torino
31%

Draw
30.3%

Bologna
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

28.6%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

28.5%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torino than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24.1%	44.8%	31%

Torino - Bologna Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Torino will win (votes: 7 - 24.1%). Bologna will win (votes: 9 - 31%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 44.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 62.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Torino (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Bologna (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Torino (1.77) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DNB - Bologna (1.70) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Bologna (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Torino (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Bologna (votes: 6 - 50%). Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Paleari A. (G) 35. Marianucci L. 13. Maripan G. 23. Coco S. 16. Pedersen M. 10. Vlasic N. (C) 4. Prati M. 66. Gineitis G. 7. Aboukhlal Z. 18. Simeone G. 19. Adams C.	1. Skorupski L. (G) 17. Joao Mario 41. Vitik M. 26. Lucumi J. 33. Miranda J. 6. Moro N. 8. Freuler R. (C) 10. Bernardeschi F. 23. Sohm S. 11. Rowe J. 9. Castro S.
Substitutes
34. Biraghi C. 22. Casadei C. 77. Ebosse E. 6. Ilkhan E. 81. Israel F. (G) 17. Kulenovic S. 20. Lazaro V. 92. Njie A. 25. Nkounkou N. 99. Siviero L. (G) 61. Tameze A. 91. Zapata D.	28. Cambiaghi N. 16. Casale N. 24. Dallinga T. 29. De Silvestri L. 30. Dominguez B. 5. Fauske Helland E. 19. Ferguson L. 21. Odgaard J. 7. Orsolini R. 25. Pessina M. (G) 13. Ravaglia F. (G) 20. Zortea N.
Coaches
Baroni M.	Italiano V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Maripan G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Adams C. ↓, Zapata D. ↑,
46', Aboukhlal Z. ↓, Lazaro V. ↑,
49', 0 - 1, Moro N. ⚽,
51', Gineitis G. 🟨,
54', Prati M. ↓, Ilkhan E. ↑,
54', Gineitis G. ↓, Casadei C. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Vlasic N. ⚽,
70', 1 - 2, Castro S. ⚽, Bernardeschi F. (A),
74', Joao Mario ↓, Zortea N. ↑,
74', Rowe J. ↓, Dominguez B. ↑,
81', Sohm S. 🟨,
83', Castro S. ↓, Odgaard J. ↑,
83', Bernardeschi F. ↓, Orsolini R. ↑,
85', Marianucci L. ↓, Njie A. ↑,
87', Vlasic N. 🟨,
87', Sohm S. ↓, Ferguson L. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torino won 0.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Bologna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Torino: Ismajli A. (Injury) Obrador R. (Calf Injury) Savva Z. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K. (Inactive) De Silvestri L. (Abdominal strain) Heggem T. (Muscle Injury) Lykogiannis C. (Hamstring Injury) Pobega T. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Torino: Ilic I. (Back Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Torino won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Torino won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.7:0.9).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Bologna: 0.25% Torino: 0.22%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5:8	-3	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3:6	-3	2

Last Results with these Odds

Bologna - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 42.27%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torino FC
Italian Serie A
07.02.26	Fiorentina - Torino	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
04.02.26	Inter Milan - Torino	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
01.02.26	Torino - Lecce	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Como - Torino	6:0 ✺
18.01.26	Torino - Roma	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLWLL
- Bologna FC
Coppa Italia
11.02.26	Bologna - Lazio	1:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
08.02.26	Bologna - Parma	0:1 ✺
03.02.26	Bologna - Milan	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Bologna	0:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
25.01.26	Genoa - Bologna	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
29.10.25	Bologna - Torino	0:0
14.02.25	Bologna - Torino	3:2
21.12.24	Torino - Bologna	0:2
03.05.24	Torino - Bologna	0:0
27.11.23	Bologna - Torino	2:0
06.03.23	Torino - Bologna	1:0
06.11.22	Bologna - Torino	2:1

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