Match Info

Serie A - Round 4

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday

Location: Stadio Olimpico di Torino (Turin)

Referee: Maresca F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Football
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network 6 DRM, fubo Sports Network 9 DRM, fubo Sports Network
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	DAZN, TV2 Play
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic
Finland	DAZN, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
India	ZEE5
Indonesia	Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Iraq	Almanasa
Italy	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 2
Kuwait	Shasha
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 3
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Polsat Sport Extra 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Saudi-arabia	STC TV, Thmanyah
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Suriname	SCCN
Sweden	DAZN, TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	Spor Smart 2, S Sport 2
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Network, NBC Universo, NBC, Paramount+, Peacock, SportsEngine Play, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter


	Torino		Roma

	1	X	2
	6.00	4.20	1.53
	6.00	4.10	1.55
	6.25	4.20	1.49	Watch
	6.85	4.25	1.56
	6.59	4.52	1.52	Watch
	6.75	4.15	1.54
	6.09	4.26	1.56
	6.00	4.40	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.32 ↑ (5.47)	4.26 ↑ (3.75)	1.54 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torino
15.2%

Draw
22.5%

Roma
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.3%

25.3%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9%

24.7%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torino than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.9%	85.1%

Torino - Roma Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Roma (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.77) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH 0 - Roma (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.91) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Roma will win (40 of 47 users predict this - 85.11%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.93% – 95.29%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roma will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Roma (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Lucas Perri (G) 45. Belghali R. 5. Comert E. 23. Coco S. 15. Comuzzo P. 29. Fortini N. 66. Gineitis G. 8. Mandragora R. 28. Fitz-Jim K. 18. Simeone G. 10. Vlasic N. (C)	99. Svilar M. (G) 23. Mancini G. 26. Balerdi L. 22. Hermoso M. 77. Lulli E. 61. Pisilli N. 4. Cristante B. (C) 20. Molina N. 21. Dybala P. 18. Soule M. 14. Malen D.
Substitutes
7. Aboukhlal Z. 3. Biraghi C. 21. Braganca D. 77. Cacciamani A. 6. Ilkhan E. 44. Ismajli A. 17. Kulenovic S. 26. Mascardi D. (G) 11. Oristanio G. 2. Patterson N. 13. Rodriguez R. 76. Siviero L. (G) 91. Zapata D.	9. Castro S. 70. De Marzi G. (G) 15. De Roon M. 87. Ghilardi D. 95. Gollini P. (G) 17. Kone M. 3. Koulierakis K. 86. Mora R. 7. Pellegrini Lo. 2. Rensch D. 43. Wesley Franca
Coaches
Abate I.	Gasperini G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Malen D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Belghali R. ↓, Cacciamani A. ↑,
46', Gineitis G. ↓, Braganca D. ↑,
57', Soule M. ↓, Mora R. ↑,
57', Malen D. ↓, Castro S. ↑,
59', Fitz-Jim K. ↓, Ilkhan E. ↑,
61', Hermoso M. 🟨,
64', Cristante B. ↓, Kone M. ↑,
64', Dybala P. ↓, De Roon M. ↑,
72', Pisilli N. 🟨,
73', Fortini N. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
83', Mandragora R. ↓, Zapata D. ↑,
88', Lulli E. ↓, Rensch D. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 2, Pisilli N. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torino won 2.

Recent performances by Torino have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Roma is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Roma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Roma is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Torino: Adams C. (Muscle Injury) Israel F. (Shoulder Injury) Pellegri P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Roma: Bah M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Torino: Casadei C. (Rest) Simeone G. (Back Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Torino won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 20:33. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Torino won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 0.7:1.7).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

AS Roma: 12.31% Torino: 0.22%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14:3	11	13
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5:8	-3	4

Last Results with these Odds

Roma - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 57.44%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torino FC
Italian Serie A
05.09.26	Fiorentina - Torino	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
01.09.26	Torino - Monza	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.08.26	Sassuolo - Torino	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Torino - Milan	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
15.08.26	Torino - Carrarese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLLLW
- AS Roma
UEFA Champions League
10.09.26	Fenerbahçe - Roma	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
05.09.26	Roma - Atalanta	2:1 ✺
31.08.26	Lecce - Roma	0:4 ✺
24.08.26	Roma - Fiorentina	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Borussia Dortmund - Roma	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
18.01.26	Torino - Roma	0:2
Coppa Italia
13.01.26	Roma - Torino	2:3
Italian Serie A
14.09.25	Roma - Torino	0:1
25.05.25	Torino - Roma	0:2
31.10.24	Roma - Torino	1:0
26.02.24	Roma - Torino	3:2
24.09.23	Torino - Roma	1:1

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