Match Info

Date: 28 November 2020, Saturday


	Bolton Wanderers		Southend United

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	6.5
	1.53	4	6
	1.55	3.95	6.25
	1.51	3.8	6.4
	1.56	4.06	6.88
	1.52	3.7	6.5
	1.59	4.1	6.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.62)	3.94 ↑ (3.84)	6.44 ↑ (5.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bolton Wanderers
61.3%

Draw
24%

Southend United
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

24.6%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1%

20.5%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Southend United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bolton Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Bolton Wanderers - Southend United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Bolton has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (21%), has a chance of promoted (16%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Southend has a good chance of relegated (58%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Bolton is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Southend is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Southend could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Southend have a series of guest games.

In this match Bolton is absolute favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Bolton won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Bolton won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bolton Wanderers
English League Two
24.11.20	Scunthorpe United - Bolton Wanderers	0:1 ✺
21.11.20	Stevenage Borough - Bolton Wanderers	1:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
17.11.20	Bolton Wanderers - Newcastle United U21	3:2 ✺
English League Two
13.11.20	Bolton Wanderers - Salford City	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
07.11.20	Bolton Wanderers - Crewe Alexandra	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWWL
- Southend United
English League Two
24.11.20	Southend United - Forest Green Rovers	0:1 ✺
14.11.20	Walsall - Southend United	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.11.20	Colchester United - Southend United	6:1 ✺
English FA Cup
07.11.20	Boreham Wood - Southend United	4:3 penalties ✺
English League Two
03.11.20	Bradford City - Southend United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
21.12.19	Bolton Wanderers - Southend United	3:2
04.04.17	Southend United - Bolton Wanderers	0:1
03.09.16	Bolton Wanderers - Southend United	1:1

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