The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Southend United 44.1%
Draw 27%
Forest Green Rovers 28.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.3%
27.4%
30.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.6%
26.6%
29.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Southend United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Southend United - Forest Green Rovers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Andeng Ndi C. (G) 2. Scott-Morriss G. (C) 16. Taylor H. 26. Golding J. 15. Gubbins J. 33. Boyes H. 28. Coker O. 23. Morton 22. Appiah-Forson K. 14. Hopper T. 9. Dallas A.
42. Isted H. (G) 47. Ahmed A. 5. Inniss R. 32. Kanu A. 24. Buyabu J. 7. McAllister K. (C) 6. Mendy L. 18. Campbell T. 26. Nwoko C. 11. Knowles T. 44. Mellor D.
Substitutes
10. Austin S. 7. Bridge J. 6. Goodliffe B. 24. Kendall C. 25. Mawene N. 18. Spasov S. 11. Walker J.
14. Clarke J. 8. Haughton N. 3. Kengni N. 25. Kircough G. 37. Marquez J. 12. Pagel F. (G) 21. Pemberton T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Golding J. ⚽, Boyes H. (A),
16', Scott-Morriss G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Campbell T. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
64', Ahmed A. ↓, Pemberton T. ↑,
72', 2 - 0, Scott-Morriss G. ⚽, Coker O. (A),
73', Knowles T. ↓, Marquez J. ↑,
73', Nwoko C. ↓, Haughton N. ↑,
73', Inniss R. ↓, Kircough G. ↑,
74', Coker O. ↓, Austin S. ↑,
80', Dallas A. ↓, Walker J. ↑,
80', Golding J. ↓, Goodliffe B. ↑,
89', Appiah-Forson K. ↓, Mawene N. ↑,
90', Hopper T. ↓, Spasov S. ↑,
90+5', McAllister K. 🟨,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southend won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Southend may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Southend is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Southend won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.8:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Southend won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Southend
13
8
3
2
31:19
12
27
16
Forest Green
12
4
3
5
19:22
-3
15
Last Results with these Odds
Southend United - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 42.3%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.