Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 23 May 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Hernando Siles (La Paz)

Referee: Gilabert F. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Germany	Sport 1+


	Bolívar		Barcelona Guayaquil

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	6.5	Watch
	1.5	4.33	5.75
	1.5	4.4	6.1
	1.5	4.56	6.64
	1.4	4.2	6
	1.43	4.7	6.85	Watch
	1.48	4.3	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.54)	4.38 ↑ (4.03)	6.23 ↑ (5.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bolívar
63.6%

Draw
21.4%

Barcelona Guayaquil
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

23.1%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

25.6%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Bolívar - Barcelona Guayaquil Predictions

Users Predictions: Bolívar will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Bolívar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bolívar is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bolívar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bolívar La Paz
Bolivian Division Profesional
14.05.23	Independiente Petroleros - Bolívar	2:1 ✺
08.05.23	Bolívar - Universitario de Vinto	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
03.05.23	Cerro Porteño - Bolívar	0:4 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
30.04.23	Nacional Potosí - Bolívar	3:2 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
26.04.23	Bolívar - Royal Pari	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 LTWLW
- Barcelona Guayaquil
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
19.05.23	Barcelona Guayaquil - Orense	2:0 ✺
13.05.23	Libertad Loja - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:2 ✺
07.05.23	Barcelona Guayaquil - SD Aucas	5:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
03.05.23	Barcelona Guayaquil - Palmeiras	0:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
29.04.23	Técnico Universitario - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
19.04.23	Barcelona Guayaquil - Bolívar	2:1

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