Match Info

Date: 14 May 2022, Saturday

Location: Matmut Atlantique (Bordeaux)

Referee: Buquet R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2, Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Bordeaux		Lorient

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.4	3	Watch
	2.37	3.3	2.95
	2.43	3.4	2.88
	2.36	3.4	2.95
	2.46	3.4	3.06
	2.35	3.5	2.88	Watch
	2.4	3.62	2.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.37)	3.43 ↓ (3.55)	2.94 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bordeaux
39.9%

Draw
27.8%

Lorient
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

26.8%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

28%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bordeaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.1%	29.4%	25.5%

Bordeaux - Lorient Predictions

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Bordeaux will win (votes: 23 - 45.1%). Lorient will win (votes: 13 - 25.5%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bordeaux: 31.4% – 58.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 17).

Bordeaux has the most likely position - 20 (62.51%), has project points - 29, has currently - 27, has a very good chance of relegated (97%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Lorient has the most likely position - 17 (47.28%), has project points - 37, has currently - 34, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

This event has quality 47, small importance 10, small match rating 29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bordeaux won 0.

Bordeaux has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lorient is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Bordeaux won 10 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 36-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Bordeaux won 9 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 22-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girondins de Bordeaux
French Ligue 1
08.05.22	Angers - Bordeaux	4:1 ✺
01.05.22	Bordeaux - Nice	0:1 ✺
24.04.22	Nantes - Bordeaux	5:3 ✺
20.04.22	Bordeaux - Saint-Étienne	2:2 ✺
17.04.22	Lyon - Bordeaux	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- FC Lorient
French Ligue 1
08.05.22	Lorient - Olympique Marseille	0:3 ✺
01.05.22	Lorient - Reims	1:2 ✺
24.04.22	Rennes - Lorient	5:0 ✺
20.04.22	Lorient - Metz	1:0 ✺
17.04.22	Nice - Lorient	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
24.10.21	Lorient - Bordeaux	1:1
Club Friendly
24.07.21	Lorient - Bordeaux	1:1
French Ligue 1
25.04.21	Lorient - Bordeaux	4:1
09.01.21	Bordeaux - Lorient	2:1
20.05.17	Lorient - Bordeaux	1:1
Coupe De France
28.02.17	Bordeaux - Lorient	2:1
French Ligue 1
05.11.16	Bordeaux - Lorient	2:1

Upcoming Matches