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Current Win Probability
Nantes 47.3%
Draw 26.1%
Bordeaux 26.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54%
24.8%
21.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.1%
24.8%
21.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nantes's form might have worsened.
Bordeaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bordeaux's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nantes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bordeaux, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
54%
20%
26%
Nantes - Bordeaux Predictions
Users Predictions:
50 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 27 - 54%). Bordeaux will win (votes: 13 - 26%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Nantes: 40.2% – 67.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
Nantes has the most likely position - 10 (42.31%), has project points - 54, has currently - 47, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
Bordeaux has the most likely position - 19 (52.12%), has project points - 32, has currently - 27, has a good chance of relegated (73%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
This event has quality53, importance35, match rating44. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Nantes won 0.
Two teams are playing changeable.
In this match Nantes is a favorite.
Last 19 head-to-head matches Nantes won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 19-22.
Including matches at home between the teams Nantes won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-6.
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