Match Info

Date: 20 February 2022, Sunday


	Bordeaux		Monaco

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.2	1.6	Watch
	5.5	4.1	1.58
	5.6	3.95	1.6	Watch
	5	4.2	1.6
	5.8	4.21	1.63
	5.8	4	1.57	Watch
	5.65	4.15	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.51 ↑ (5.18)	4.12 ↑ (3.93)	1.6 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bordeaux
17.3%

Draw
23.1%

Monaco
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.2%

24.1%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15%

19.9%

70%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bordeaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Monaco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bordeaux - Monaco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 8).

Bordeaux has the most likely position - 20 (27.41%), has project points - 34, has currently - 20, has a good chance of relegated (53%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Monaco has the most likely position - 4 (14.18%), has project points - 61, has currently - 37, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (22%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 56, importance 53, match rating 55. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bordeaux won 0.

Bordeaux is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Monaco is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Monaco is a favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Bordeaux won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 20-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Bordeaux won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girondins de Bordeaux
French Ligue 1
13.02.22	Lens - Bordeaux	3:2 ✺
06.02.22	Reims - Bordeaux	5:0 ✺
23.01.22	Bordeaux - Strasbourg	4:3 ✺
16.01.22	Rennes - Bordeaux	6:0 ✺
07.01.22	Bordeaux - Olympique Marseille	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWLL
- AS Monaco
French Ligue 1
13.02.22	Monaco - Lorient	0:0 ✺
Coupe De France
08.02.22	Monaco - Amiens	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
05.02.22	Monaco - Lyon	2:0 ✺
Coupe De France
30.01.22	Lens - Monaco	2:4 ✺
French Ligue 1
23.01.22	Montpellier - Monaco	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
03.10.21	Monaco - Bordeaux	3:0
18.04.21	Bordeaux - Monaco	0:3
01.11.20	Monaco - Bordeaux	4:0
18.04.20	Monaco - Bordeaux	Canceled
24.11.19	Bordeaux - Monaco	2:1
09.03.19	Monaco - Bordeaux	1:1
26.08.18	Bordeaux - Monaco	2:1

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