Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 23

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Bollaert-Delelis (Lens)

Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	Caze TV
Bulgaria	Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Israel	Sport 5 Max
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Mexico	FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 5 Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Lens		Monaco

	1	X	2
	1.73	4.2	4.2	Watch
	1.78	3.95	4.25	Watch
	1.67	4.41	4.88
	1.79	4.07	4.02	Watch
	1.73	3.8	4.2
	1.73	4.3	4.52	Watch
	1.7	4.33	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.85)	4.15 ↑ (4.02)	4.34 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lens
55.1%

Draw
23%

Monaco
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

23.5%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

22.8%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	13.9%	11.1%

Lens - Monaco Predictions

Users Predictions: 72 users predict this event. Lens will win (votes: 54 - 75%). Monaco will win (votes: 8 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 13.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lens: 65% – 85%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Lens (2.25) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Lens (1.22) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Monaco (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lens will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Lens (votes: 18 - 90%). Monaco (votes: 1 - 5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Risser R. (G) 4. Celik N. 25. Ganiou I. 20. Sarr M. 23. Abdulhamid S. 5. Bulatovic A. 28. Thomasson A. (C) 14. Udol M. 10. Thauvin F. 9. Saint-Maximin A. 11. Edouard O.	16. Kohn P. (G) 5. Kehrer T. 6. Zakaria D. (C) 25. Faes W. 27. Diatta K. 4. Teze J. 15. Camara L. 12. Caio Henrique 28. Coulibaly M. 9. Balogun F. 24. Adingra S.
Substitutes
2. Aguilar R. 26. Bermont A. 38. Fofana R. 16. Gorgelin M. (G) 21. Haidara A. 27. Masuaku A. 19. Sima A. 7. Sotoca F. 18. Sylla F.	23. Bamba A. 14. Biereth M. 29. Brunner P. 31. Fati A. 17. Idumbo S. 50. Lienard Y. (G) 44. Nibombe S. 40. Stawiecki J. (G) 49. Toure I.
Coaches
Sage P.	Pocognoli S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Edouard O. ⚽, Thomasson A. (A),
31', Diatta K. ↓, Bamba A. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
56', 2 - 0, Thauvin F. ⚽,
62', 2 - 1, Balogun F. ⚽, Coulibaly M. (A),
63', Edouard O. ↓, Sima A. ↑,
69', Adingra S. ↓, Fati A. ↑,
70', 2 - 2, Zakaria D. ⚽, Caio Henrique (A),
72', 2 - 3, Fati A. ⚽,
74', Abdulhamid S. 🟨,
75', Abdulhamid S. ↓, Aguilar R. ↑,
75', Saint-Maximin A. ↓, Fofana R. ↑,
85', Balogun F. ↓, Biereth M. ↑,
87', Aguilar R. ↓, Bermont A. ↑,
87', Bulatovic A. ↓, Sotoca F. ↑,
90+2', Faes W. 🟨,
90+4', Ganiou I. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lens won 2.

Lens is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Monaco has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Monaco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lens is the team to beat.

There will not play in Lens: Antonio K. (Foot Injury) Baidoo S. (Muscle Injury) Gradit J. (Thigh Injury) Gurtner R. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Monaco: Akliouche M. (Hip Injury) Cabral P. (Muscle Injury) Dier E. (Injury) Golovin A. (Red Card) Hradecky L. (Knee Injury) Mawissa C. (Injury) Minamino T. (Knee Injury) Ouattara K. (Calf Injury) Pogba P. (Calf Injury) Salisu M. (Knee Injury) Vanderson (Yellow Cards)

We predict that Lens will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Lens won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 30:35. (average 1.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Lens won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.7:2.1).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Monaco: 8.18% Lens: 1.95%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8:3	5	13
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9:9	0	4

Last Results with these Odds

Lens - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 51.02%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Lens
French Ligue 1
14.02.26	Paris FC - Lens	0:5 ✺
07.02.26	Lens - Rennes	3:1 ✺
Coupe De France
04.02.26	Troyes - Lens	2:4 ✺
French Ligue 1
30.01.26	Lens - Le Havre	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Olympique Marseille - Lens	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWL
- AS Monaco
UEFA Champions League
17.02.26	Monaco - Paris Saint-Germain	2:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
13.02.26	Monaco - Nantes	3:1 ✺
08.02.26	Nice - Monaco	0:0 ✺
Coupe De France
05.02.26	Strasbourg - Monaco	3:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
31.01.26	Monaco - Rennes	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
08.11.25	Monaco - Lens	1:4
17.05.25	Lens - Monaco	4:0
01.09.24	Monaco - Lens	1:1
25.02.24	Lens - Monaco	2:3
Coupe De France
07.01.24	Lens - Monaco	2:3 penalties
French Ligue 1
02.09.23	Monaco - Lens	3:0
22.04.23	Lens - Monaco	3:0

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