Match Info

Date: 13 February 2022, Sunday


	Lens		Bordeaux

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.75	6	Watch
	1.49	4.75	6
	1.46	4.8	6.25	Watch
	1.47	4.9	5.8
	1.49	5	6.58
	1.47	4.6	6
	1.48	4.95	6.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.45)	4.82 ↑ (4.65)	6.12 ↓ (6.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lens
64.6%

Draw
19.8%

Bordeaux
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

20.4%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.7%

17.4%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Bordeaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Lens - Bordeaux Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

Lens has the most likely position - 10 (13.98%), has project points - 53, has currently - 33, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Bordeaux has the most likely position - 20 (22.54%), has project points - 35, has currently - 20, has a chance of relegated (49%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Lens is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bordeaux is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lens could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lens is absolute favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Lens won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Lens won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Lens
French Ligue 1
06.02.22	Lorient - Lens	2:0 ✺
Coupe De France
30.01.22	Lens - Monaco	2:4 ✺
French Ligue 1
22.01.22	Lens - Olympique Marseille	0:2 ✺
15.01.22	Saint-Étienne - Lens	1:2 ✺
08.01.22	Lens - Rennes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLLWW
- Girondins de Bordeaux
French Ligue 1
06.02.22	Reims - Bordeaux	5:0 ✺
23.01.22	Bordeaux - Strasbourg	4:3 ✺
16.01.22	Rennes - Bordeaux	6:0 ✺
07.01.22	Bordeaux - Olympique Marseille	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
02.01.22	Brest - Bordeaux	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
12.09.21	Bordeaux - Lens	2:3
16.05.21	Bordeaux - Lens	3:0
19.09.20	Lens - Bordeaux	2:1
05.04.15	Bordeaux - Lens	2:1
08.11.14	Lens - Bordeaux	1:2
Coupe De France
17.04.13	Lens - Bordeaux	2:3

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