Match Info

Date: 23 January 2022, Sunday


	Bordeaux		Strasbourg

	1	X	2
	4.33	4	1.75	Watch
	4.1	3.75	1.82
	4	4	1.8	Watch
	4.2	3.85	1.78
	4.46	4.01	1.82
	4	3.7	1.85
	4.2	3.94	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.18 ↑ (3.38)	3.89 ↑ (3.55)	1.81 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bordeaux
22.8%

Draw
24.5%

Strasbourg
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

26.8%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

20.7%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bordeaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bordeaux's form might have worsened.

Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Strasbourg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Strasbourg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	11.4%	79.5%

Bordeaux - Strasbourg Predictions

Users Predictions: Strasbourg will win (70 of 88 users predict this - 79.55%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.12% – 87.98%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Group Stage)).

Bordeaux has the most likely position - 19 (19.3%), has project points - 34, has currently - 17, has a chance of relegated (41%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Strasbourg has the most likely position - 3 (13.45%), has project points - 62, has currently - 35, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (26%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Bordeaux is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Strasbourg is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Strasbourg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Strasbourg have a series of guest games.

In this match Strasbourg is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Bordeaux won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Bordeaux won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girondins de Bordeaux
French Ligue 1
16.01.22	Rennes - Bordeaux	6:0 ✺
07.01.22	Bordeaux - Olympique Marseille	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
02.01.22	Brest - Bordeaux	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
22.12.21	Bordeaux - Lille	2:3 ✺
Coupe De France
19.12.21	Bordeaux - Jumeaux de MZoisia	10:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLLW
- RC Strasbourg
French Ligue 1
19.01.22	Clermont - Strasbourg	0:2 ✺
16.01.22	Strasbourg - Montpellier	3:1 ✺
09.01.22	Metz - Strasbourg	0:2 ✺
Coupe De France
02.01.22	Montpellier - Strasbourg	1:0 ✺
16.12.21	Valenciennes - Strasbourg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
01.12.21	Strasbourg - Bordeaux	5:2
04.04.21	Bordeaux - Strasbourg	2:3
20.12.20	Strasbourg - Bordeaux	0:2
16.05.20	Strasbourg - Bordeaux	Canceled
15.12.19	Bordeaux - Strasbourg	0:1
French Coupe de la Ligue
30.01.19	Strasbourg - Bordeaux	3:2
French Ligue 1
26.01.19	Strasbourg - Bordeaux	1:0

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