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Current Win Probability
Bordeaux 17.6%
Draw 22%
Olympique Marseille 60.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.1%
26.7%
45.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.6%
20.5%
58.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bordeaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bordeaux's form might have worsened.
Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olympique Marseille's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
3.4%
7.3%
89.3%
Bordeaux - Olympique Marseille Predictions
Users Predictions:
Olympique Marseille will win
(233 of 261 users predict this - 89.27%). Confidence interval (95%): 85.52% – 93.02%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification)).
Bordeaux has the most likely position - 18 (15.35%), has project points - 38, has currently - 17, has a chance of relegated (29%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Marseille has the most likely position - 2 (19.65%), has project points - 63, has currently - 33, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (35%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
Recent matches Bordeaux is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Marseille is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match Marseille is a favorite.
Last 21 head-to-head matches Bordeaux won 4 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 18-23.
Including matches at home between the teams Bordeaux won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-5.