Match Info

Date: 9 December 2021, Thursday


	Olympique Marseille		Lokomotiv Moscow

	1	X	2
	1.28	5.75	10
	1.36	5	8.75
	1.33	5.75	8.75
	1.3	5.6	8.2
	1.32	5.99	9.22
	1.28	5.5	9.5
	1.31	6.1	10.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.51)	5.67 ↑ (4.36)	9.24 ↑ (6.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympique Marseille
72.8%

Draw
16.8%

Lokomotiv Moscow
10.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

21.7%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.4%

18%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olympique Marseille's performance.

Lokomotiv Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lokomotiv Moscow might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.1%	11.4%	11.4%

Olympique Marseille - Lokomotiv Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 70 users predict this event. Marseille will win (votes: 54 - 77.1%). Lokomotiv will win (votes: 8 - 11.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 11.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 67.3% – 86.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Marseille has not chance of round of 16, has not chance of qtrs, has not chance of semis, has not chance of final, has not chance of win league, has currently - 4, has not chance of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has a good chance of 3rd (89%).

Lokomotiv has not chance of round of 16, has not chance of qtrs, has not chance of semis, has not chance of final, has not chance of win league, has currently - 2, has not chance of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has a small chance of 3rd (11%).

Recent matches Marseille is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lokomotiv has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Marseille could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Marseille is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marseille won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1
04.12.21	Olympique Marseille - Brest	1:2 ✺
01.12.21	Nantes - Olympique Marseille	0:1 ✺
28.11.21	Olympique Marseille - Troyes	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.11.21	Galatasaray - Olympique Marseille	4:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
07.11.21	Olympique Marseille - Metz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWLT
- Lokomotiv Moscow
Russian Premier League
04.12.21	Lokomotiv Moscow - Ural	0:1 ✺
29.11.21	Arsenal Tula - Lokomotiv Moscow	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.11.21	Lokomotiv Moscow - Lazio	0:3 ✺
Russian Premier League
20.11.21	Lokomotiv Moscow - Akhmat Grozny	1:2 ✺
07.11.21	Spartak Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
16.09.21	Lokomotiv Moscow - Olympique Marseille	1:1

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