Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 7 January 2023, Saturday

Location: Meadow Park (Borehamwood)

Referee: Langford O. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	Discovery+, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Viaplay


	Boreham Wood		Accrington Stanley

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.8	Watch
	2.5	2.95	2.75
	2.65	3.2	2.75
	2.55	3.1	2.8
	2.62	3.13	2.92
	2.45	2.9	2.88	Watch
	2.56	3.18	2.82	Watch
	2.55	3.15	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.81)	3.1 ↓ (3.39)	2.82 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boreham Wood
36.6%

Draw
30.2%

Accrington Stanley
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

27.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

27.1%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boreham Wood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Accrington Stanley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boreham Wood than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Accrington Stanley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	60%	26.7%

Boreham Wood - Accrington Stanley Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Boreham Wood will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Accrington will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Replayed if draw.

Boreham Wood is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Accrington is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Accrington could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boreham Wood
English National League
02.01.23	Boreham Wood - Barnet	1:1 ✺
26.12.22	Barnet - Boreham Wood	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
20.12.22	Southend United - Boreham Wood	2:0 ✺
English National League
06.12.22	Boreham Wood - Oldham Athletic	2:1 ✺
03.12.22	Eastleigh - Boreham Wood	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLLWL
- Accrington Stanley
English League One
02.01.23	Derby County - Accrington Stanley	4:0 ✺
29.12.22	Morecambe - Accrington Stanley	2:0 ✺
26.12.22	Accrington Stanley - Barnsley	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
13.12.22	Burton Albion - Accrington Stanley	2:4 ✺
English League One
03.12.22	Accrington Stanley - Oxford United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLTWT

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