Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 34

Date: 25 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Pirelli Stadium (Burton upon Trent)

Referee: Smith J. (Eng)


	Burton Albion		Accrington Stanley

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.8	4
	1.83	3.5	4.1
	1.83	3.7	4.15
	1.85	3.73	4.37
	1.83	3.5	4.2
	1.8	3.68	4.33	Watch
	1.87	3.6	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2)	3.64 ↑ (3.56)	4.15 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burton Albion
51.4%

Draw
25.9%

Accrington Stanley
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

26.7%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

26.5%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	11.1%	33.3%

Burton Albion - Accrington Stanley Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Accrington will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burton: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 18 and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Burton has the most likely position - 20 (12.84%), has project points - 49, has currently - 34, has a chance of relegated (26%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Accrington has the most likely position - 22 (17.87%), has project points - 45, has currently - 30, has a good chance of relegated (53%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 13, importance 60, match rating 37. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Burton won 1.

Burton is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Accrington is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Burton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Burton is a favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Burton won 8 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 31-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Burton won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burton Albion
English League One
18.02.23	Bristol Rovers - Burton Albion	1:2 ✺
14.02.23	Portsmouth - Burton Albion	1:0 ✺
11.02.23	Burton Albion - Exeter City	1:0 ✺
04.02.23	Fleetwood Town - Burton Albion	2:3 ✺
28.01.23	Burton Albion - Oxford United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WLWWW
- Accrington Stanley
English EFL Trophy
22.02.23	Accrington Stanley - Bolton Wanderers	0:2 ✺
English League One
18.02.23	Accrington Stanley - Shrewsbury Town	1:0 ✺
14.02.23	Accrington Stanley - Wycombe Wanderers	0:2 ✺
11.02.23	Cheltenham Town - Accrington Stanley	0:0 ✺
07.02.23	Port Vale - Accrington Stanley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
13.12.22	Burton Albion - Accrington Stanley	2:4
English League One
13.08.22	Accrington Stanley - Burton Albion	4:4
15.04.22	Accrington Stanley - Burton Albion	0:0
23.11.21	Burton Albion - Accrington Stanley	4:0
02.04.21	Accrington Stanley - Burton Albion	0:0
19.09.20	Burton Albion - Accrington Stanley	2:1
English League Cup
04.09.20	Burton Albion - Accrington Stanley	2:1 penalties

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