The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Accrington Stanley 30.8%
Draw 26.7%
Oxford United 42.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36%
27.4%
36.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36%
27.4%
36.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Accrington Stanley's form might have worsened.
Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oxford United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Accrington Stanley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oxford United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.8%
23.5%
64.7%
Accrington Stanley - Oxford United Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Oxford will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Oxford: 42% – 87.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 and 15).
Accrington has the most likely position - 21 (13.1%), has project points - 47, has currently - 20, has a chance of relegated (43%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Oxford has the most likely position - 10 (8.05%), has project points - 64, has currently - 24, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (12%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality18, importance31, small match rating25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Accrington won 2.
Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
Accrington could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Oxford will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 19 head-to-head matches Accrington won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 25-40.
Including matches at home between the teams Accrington won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-17.
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